25 years of contribution to research

The AHRI Health & Demographic

Surveillance System

AHRI HDSS Stamp
AHRI Public Engagement Hero

Introduction

Over the past quarter century, the Africa Health Research Institute (AHRI) health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS)1,2 has been the source of a large body of research that contributed knowledge on the burden of disease and evaluated both public health system and novel interventions in an under-resourced rural community in the southern part of the uMkhanyakude district in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Established in 2000 as the Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS), the platform defines a geographically bounded population and prospectively records births, deaths and migrations through regular household visits. It distinguishes household membership from residency to capture highly mobile household members and conducts annual individual surveys with anonymised dried-blood-spot HIV testing; eligibility was extended in 2007 to all residents aged ≥15 years.

The original surveillance area covered 438 km² around Mtubatuba (uMkhanyakude district) and included ~85 000 resident and non-resident members in ~11 000 households in 2006; all homesteads and facilities were geo-referenced to support spatial analyses. In 2017 the HDSS was enlarged and reconfigured as AHRI’s Population Intervention Platform (PIP): the surveillance area nearly doubled to 845 km², incorporating communities from a prior HIV treatment-as-prevention cluster trial. AHRI joined the South African Population Research Infrastructure Network (SAPRIN) in 2017 as the AHRI HDSS. Field procedures were modernised to one annual household round supplemented by twice-yearly telephone updates; home-based HIV counselling and testing is offered, and surveillance is linked to clinic and programme databases (e.g., AHRILink, TIER.net) to capture service use, treatment and outcomes. Currently the HDSS follows 156 000 household members, 105 000 of whom are resident members of 22 800 households.

AHRI HDSS Area
AHRI HDSS Area
AHRI HDSS Area
AHRI HDSS Area

Methodology

The initial step in compiling a list of publications for analysis was to identify all citations of the cohort profile papers related to the HDSS1–8. This list was expanded by adding the publications listed as originating from the AHRI HDSS in the annual report to SAPRIN. A total of 661 papers were identified, and reviewed to ensure that the paper is either based directly on findings made on the HDSS population, or in the case of review or multi-site papers there is a substantial contribution to the paper of information obtained from the HDSS or nested studies within the HDSS. After this review 579 papers remained.

AHRI HDSS Publications

Figure 1: Publications per five-year period

The 579 papers were authored by 1 393 authors. Figure 2 shows the number of publications contributed by a specific author.

AHRI HDSS Authors

Figure 2: Number of publications per author

There are 788 authors that appeared on only one publication; 189 authors that appeared on at least five publications, and 20 authors that appeared on 30 or more publications.

Based on the country of the most common affiliation of the author, authors were from 45 different countries and the map in Figure 3 summarises this per region.

AHRI HDSS Regions

Figure 3: Region where authors were from.

Most authors were from South Africa (605), followed by Europe (351), North America (269) and sub-Saharan Africa (120).

Thematic analysis

We converted each publication abstract into a numerical vector (“embedding”) that captures its meaning, so texts about similar topics sit close together in this vector space. To make clustering efficient and stable, we reduced the embedding dimensions with PCA while preserving most of the structure relevant to topic similarity.

We then applied k-means clustering with k=10 to partition all abstracts into exactly 10 groups. The output of this step was a per-publication file with its cluster ID and theme label.

A concise, human-readable summary was then generated for each cluster. The script merged the clustering results with the publications table to ensure that each cluster is accompanied by the titles and abstracts of its constituent papers. For every cluster, up to 19 representative abstracts were selected - approximately 60% based on the highest influence (lowest rank score), while the remainder are chosen for their strong similarity to the cluster’s centroid, reflecting typicality. These elements are compiled into a single prompt requesting a neutral synthesis of 100–180 words, which paraphrases shared populations or contexts, principal research questions, study designs or data sources, consistent findings, and key operational insights. The model (OpenAI “gpt-5”) then generates one coherent paragraph per cluster.

We ranked publications using a composite score that combines article-level impact and journal prestige. For each record (doi, title, year, citations, journal CiteScore), citations were log-transformed as ln(1+citations) and adjusted for recency via exponential decay with a 6.3-year half-life (anchored to 2025). The resulting decayed-citation values and the journal CiteScore were standardised to z-scores across the corpus. A weighted sum (0.6×decayed-citations z-score + 0.4×CiteScore z-score) yielded the composite score. Publications were ordered by this score in descending order and assigned dense ranks; ties share the same rank. Missing citation counts were treated as zero, and zero-variance safeguards were applied during standardisation.

Cluster summaries

Cluster 1: Peer and technology-enabled HIV testing and care for youth and men in rural KwaZulu-Natal (39 publications).

This cluster examines how peer-led, decentralised, and digital strategies can increase HIV testing, prevention, and linkage to care among adolescents, young adults, and men in rural KwaZulu-Natal. Using factorial and stepped-wedge cluster randomised designs, studies tested peer navigators who mobilise youth into nurse-led mobile sexual and reproductive health services, integration of STI/contraception with serostatus-neutral HIV prevention, HIV self-testing (including peer-to-peer distribution), small financial incentives, and a male-targeted decision-support app grounded in self-determination theory. Home-based and community distributions consistently reached men - many first-time testers - and facilitated confirmatory testing and PrEP/ART initiation when youth-friendly services and referral tools were available. Financial incentives increased testing uptake, but linkage to care remained weak, especially among young men; the digital app was acceptable yet hampered by privacy, usability, and fidelity challenges, with limited impact on linkage. Process evaluations highlighted stigma, “feminised” clinics, and negative clinic experiences as enduring barriers. Operational lessons emphasise pairing peer support with convenient, confidential services, strengthening implementation quality, and measuring population-level outcomes such as transmissible HIV and viral suppression.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Oluwafemi Adeagbo; Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; et al. “Process evaluation of peer-to-peer delivery of HIV self-testing and sexual health information to support HIV prevention among youth in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: qualitative analysis.” BMJ Open, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-048780
Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; Nonhlanhla Okesola; et al. “Thetha Nami: participatory development of a peer-navigator intervention to deliver biosocial HIV prevention for adolescents and youth in rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11399-z
Maryam Shahmanesh; Kathy Baisley; Natsayi Chimbindi; et al. “Effectiveness of integrating HIV prevention within sexual reproductive health services with or without peer support among adolescents and young adults in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (Isisekelo Sempilo): 2 × 2 factorial, open-label, randomised controlled trial.” The Lancet HIV, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(24)00119-x
H. Manisha Yapa; Till Bärnighausen; Jan-Walter De Neve; et al. “The impact of continuous quality improvement on coverage of antenatal HIV care tests in rural South Africa: Results of a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised controlled implementation trial.” PLOS Medicine, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003150
Oluwafemi Adeagbo; Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; et al. “Exploring People’s Candidacy for Mobile Health–Supported HIV Testing and Care Services in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Qualitative Study.” Journal of Medical Internet Research, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2196/15681
Frank Tanser; Till Bärnighausen; Hae-Young Kim; et al. “Home-Based Intervention to Test and Start (HITS): a community-randomized controlled trial to increase HIV testing uptake among men in rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25665
Thulile Mathenjwa; Ann Blandford; Oluwafemi Adeagbo; et al. “Development and Acceptability of a Tablet-Based App to Support Men to Link to HIV Care: Mixed Methods Approach.” JMIR mHealth and uHealth, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2196/17549
Nsika Sithole; Adrienne E. Shapiro; Maryam Shahmanesh; et al. “Implementation of HIV Self-Testing to Reach Men in Rural uMkhanyakude, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. a DO-ART Trial Sub Study.” Frontiers in Public Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.652887
Kathy Baisley; Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; et al. “Findings from home-based HIV testing and facilitated linkage after scale-up of test and treat in rural South Africa: young people still missing.” HIV Medicine, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12787
Oluwafemi Adeagbo; Maryam Shahmanesh; Hae-Young Kim; et al. “Acceptability of a tablet-based application to support early HIV testing among men in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: a mixed method study.” AIDS Care, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2020.1742867
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Cluster 2: HIV incidence dynamics and targeted prevention in sub-Saharan Africa (44 publications)

This cluster synthesises population-based cohorts from rural KwaZulu-Natal and regional analyses across East, Central, and Southern Africa to track HIV incidence, age shifts, and spatial concentration amid expanding antiretroviral therapy, male circumcision, and prevention programmes. Prospective surveillance with repeated testing, G-imputation for interval-censored seroconversion, Bayesian and catalytic reconstructions, and fine-scale geospatial modelling consistently show substantial recent incidence declines, earlier and steeper in men, accompanied by a shift of new infections to older ages. Yet incidence remains high among adolescent girls and young women and female sex workers and varies sharply across small areas. UNAIDS epidemic control metrics indicate progress but uneven and off target in hyperendemic settings. Modified population viral load measures that incorporate local prevalence, and risk models using only age and geospatial covariates, accurately identify high-incidence places, outperforming behaviour-only models. Studies also document increased survival with ART before incidence fell and find youth HIV testing protective. Operational lessons emphasise targeting underserved high-burden clusters, scaling men’s treatment to reduce women’s risk, and deploying cost-effective sex worker programmes.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Isolde Birdthistle; Emma Slaymaker; Clare Tanton; et al. “Recent levels and trends in HIV incidence rates among adolescent girls and young women in ten high-prevalence African countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.” The Lancet Global Health, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(19)30410-3
Kathryn Risher; Jeffrey W. Eaton; Anne Cori; et al. “Age patterns of HIV incidence in eastern and southern Africa: a modelling analysis of observational population-based cohort studies.” The Lancet HIV, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(21)00069-2
Alain Vandormael; Frank Tanser; Adam Akullian; et al. “Declines in HIV incidence among men and women in a South African population-based cohort.” Nature Communications, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13473-y
Adam Akullian; Frank Tanser; Alain Vandormael; et al. “Large age shifts in HIV-1 incidence patterns in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2013164118
Loveleen Bansi-Matharu; Andrew Phillips; Paul Revill; et al. “The effect on HIV transmission and cost-effectiveness of programmes for female sex workers in East, Central, and Southern Africa: a modelling study.” The Lancet Global Health, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(24)00224-9
Hana Kim; Diego F. Cuadros; Frank Tanser; et al. “Beyond HIV prevalence: identifying people living with HIV within underserved areas in South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004089
Frank Tanser; Deenan Pillay; Alain Vandormael; et al. “Effect of population viral load on prospective HIV incidence in a hyperendemic rural African community.” Science Translational Medicine, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.aam8012
D. Allen Roberts; Adam Akullian; Diego F. Cuadros; et al. “Predicting the Risk of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1) Acquisition in Rural South Africa Using Geospatial Data.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciac069
Alain Vandormael; Frank Tanser; Diego Cuadros; et al. “The state of the HIV epidemic in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: a novel application of disease metrics to assess trajectories and highlight areas for intervention.” International Journal of Epidemiology, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyz269
Alain Vandormael; Frank Tanser; Adrian Dobra; et al. “Incidence rate estimation, periodic testing and the limitations of the mid-point imputation approach.” International Journal of Epidemiology, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyx134
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Cluster 3: ART scale-up, universal test-and-treat, and treatment-as-prevention in high-burden settings (102 publications)

This cluster examines how expanding antiretroviral therapy (ART) and universal test-and-treat (UTT) affect HIV incidence, survival, and care engagement in resource-limited settings, with a focus on rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Using cluster-randomised trials (ANRS 12249 TasP; DO ART), population-based cohorts linked to clinic records, regression discontinuity at CD4 thresholds, interrupted time series around UTT rollout, programme evaluations, and a global review of Undetectable = Untransmittable (U=U)/TasP knowledge, studies show that ART scale-up substantially increased adult life expectancy and that higher community ART coverage reduces HIV acquisition risk. UTT achieved very high testing coverage and, when paired with rapid linkage and patient-centred care, raised population viral suppression and lowered incidence and mortality, though elimination targets were not met. Persistent challenges include poor linkage and initiation among people with higher CD4 counts, men and youth lagging in suppression, and only modest, transient increases in CD4 at initiation after UTT. Immediate eligibility improves retention, and community-based initiation and refill models outperform clinic-based care on viral suppression. Longitudinal cascades reveal major pre-linkage losses, and awareness of U=U remains low in Africa, underscoring the need for sustained, decentralised, gender-tailored services and vigilant viral load monitoring.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Ruanne V. Barnabas; Connie Celum; Adam A. Szpiro; et al. “Community-based antiretroviral therapy versus standard clinic-based services for HIV in South Africa and Uganda (DO ART): a randomised trial.” The Lancet Global Health, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30313-2
Matthias Egger; Andrew Boulle. “Population effect of scaling up ART in resource-poor settings.” The Lancet, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(08)60669-8
Frank Tanser; Marie-Louise Newell; Till Bärnighausen; et al. “High Coverage of ART Associated with Decline in Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Science, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1228160
Jacob Bor; Till Bärnighausen; Kobus Herbst; et al. “Increases in Adult Life Expectancy in Rural South Africa: Valuing the Scale-Up of HIV Treatment.” Science, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1230413
Jacob Bor; Dorina Onoya; Charlie B. Fischer; et al. “Changing Knowledge and Attitudes Towards HIV Treatment-as-Prevention and “Undetectable = Untransmittable”: A Systematic Review.” AIDS and Behavior, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03296-8
Diane V. Havlir; François Dabis; Shahin Lockman; et al. “What do the Universal Test and Treat trials tell us about the path to HIV epidemic control?” Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25455
H. Manisha Yapa; Jacob Bor; Hae-Young Kim; et al. “CD4+ T-Cell Count at Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in the “Treat-All” Era in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab650
Collins Iwuji; François Dabis; Joanna Orne-Gliemann; et all. “Uptake of Home-Based HIV Testing, Linkage to Care, and Community Attitudes about ART in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Descriptive Results from the First Phase of the ANRS 12249 TasP Cluster-Randomised Trial.” PLOS Medicine, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002107
Noah Haber; Till Bärnighausen; Frank Tanser; et al. “From HIV infection to therapeutic response: a population-based longitudinal HIV cascade-of-care study in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” The Lancet HIV, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(16)30224-7
Jacob Bor; Till Bärnighausen; Matthew P. Fox; et al. “Treatment eligibility and retention in clinical HIV care: A regression discontinuity study in South Africa.” PLOS Medicine, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002463
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Cluster 4: HIV, maternal and child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (65 publications)

This cluster examines how HIV and social determinants shape maternal, child, and adult mortality in rural South Africa and multi-country HDSS sites across eastern and southern Africa during the ART era. Studies use population-based cohorts with verbal autopsies interpreted by probabilistic algorithms (InterVA, InSilicoVA), linked HIV/ART records, spatial clustering, and Cox or interrupted time-series analyses. Consistently, HIV/TB dominated mortality but declined with ART scale-up; however, HIV remained strongly associated with direct maternal deaths and with late postpartum mortality alongside other infections and rising noncommunicable causes, often amid health-system failures. Maternal ART improves under-five survival, while a mother’s death triggers a sharp, early hazard for her child. Combined wasting and stunting greatly elevate infant mortality, and pervasive stunting underlies later deaths. Offspring schooling is linked to parental survival; migration heightens postpartum risk; and Covid-19 lockdowns reduced paediatric admissions, likely constraining access. Priorities include embedding verbal autopsy in CRVS, targeting spatial hotspots, ensuring quality maternity and HIV care across mobility and postpartum, safeguarding services during shocks, and addressing mental health and socioeconomic drivers.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Amy McIntosh; Kobus Herbst; Max Bachmann; et al. “Effect of Covid-19 lockdown on hospital admissions and mortality in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: interrupted time series analysis.” BMJ Open, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047961
Yue Chu; Samuel J. Clark; Milly Marston; et al. “Temporal changes in cause of death among adolescents and adults in six countries in eastern and southern Africa in 1995–2019: a multi-country surveillance study of verbal autopsy data.” The Lancet Global Health, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(24)00171-2
Charlotte Wright; Frederick K. Ho; J Macpherson; et al. “Wasting and Stunting in Infants and Young Children as Risk Factors for Subsequent Stunting or Mortality: Longitudinal Analysis of Data from Malawi, South Africa, and Pakistan.” The Journal of Nutrition, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/nxab054
Hae-Young Kim; Frank Tanser; Adrian Dobra. “Migration and first-year maternal mortality among HIV-positive postpartum women: A population-based longitudinal study in rural South Africa.” PLOS Medicine, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003085
Jan-Walter De Neve; Guy Harling. “Offspring schooling associated with increased parental survival in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2017.01.015
Ursula Gazeley; Véronique Filippi; Georges Reniers; et al. “Pregnancy-related mortality up to 1 year postpartum in sub-Saharan Africa: an analysis of verbal autopsy data from six countries.” BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.17606
Debbie Bradshaw; Rob Dorrington; Nadine Nannan; et al. “Burden of disease in South Africa: Protracted transitions driven by social pathologies.” South African Medical Journal, 2019. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.2019.v109i11b.14273
Clara Calvert; Georges Reniers; Milly Marston; et al. “Direct maternal deaths attributable to HIV in the era of antiretroviral therapy: evidence from three population-based HIV cohorts with verbal autopsy.” AIDS, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002552
Tamsen Rochat; Ruth Bland; Brian Houle; et al. “Prevalence and risk factors for child mental disorders in a population-based cohort of HIV-exposed and unexposed African children aged 7–11 years.” European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-018-1146-8
Carren Ginsburg; Mark Collinson; Philippe Bocquier; et al. “Association between internal migration and epidemic dynamics: an analysis of cause-specific mortality in Kenya and South Africa using health and demographic surveillance data.” BMC Public Health, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-018-5851-5
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Cluster 5: Integrated TB/HIV surveillance and care innovations in rural KwaZulu-Natal (130 publications)

Drawing on a long‑running demographic surveillance platform in rural South Africa, this cluster examines how to detect, link, and deliver care for HIV, tuberculosis and related conditions. Community and clinic‑based surveys show that many culture‑confirmed TB cases lack symptoms, indicating symptom screening alone misses disease; computer‑aided chest radiography and deep‑learning interpretation of HIV rapid tests improve diagnosis and quality assurance. Modelling attributes a share of TB to transmission in primary care clinics, with infection‑prevention measures yielding moderate community benefits, while a systems‑focused review highlights persistent implementation barriers from space, staffing, equipment, and norms. Qualitative studies reveal stigma, provider attitudes, clinic design, and inconvenient hours restrict youth access; drought‑related livelihood shocks undermine antiretroviral adherence, and hepatitis B awareness and care pathways are weak. During Covid‑19, phone surveillance tracked household impacts; adult HIV care was resilient, but child visits dipped. Consistent lessons include integrating community screening, digital diagnostics, and data linkages, investing in stigma reduction, youth‑friendly, climate‑resilient services, and TB IPC; gaps include under‑addressed mental health needs and strategies for radiologically subtle TB.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Valérian Turbé; Rachel A. McKendry; Kobus Herbst; et al. “Deep learning of HIV field-based rapid tests.” Nature Medicine, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01384-9
Christopher S. Wood; Molly M. Stevens; Michael R. Thomas; et al. “Taking connected mobile-health diagnostics of infectious diseases to the field.” Nature, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0956-2
Jana Fehr; Zizile E.L. Sikhosana; Stefan Konigorski; et al. “Computer-aided interpretation of chest radiography reveals the spectrum of tuberculosis in rural South Africa.” npj Digital Medicine, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-021-00471-y
Mark J. Siedner; Kobus Herbst; John D. Kraemer; et al. “Access to primary healthcare during lockdown measures for COVID-19 in rural South Africa: an interrupted time series analysis.” BMJ Open, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043763
Daniel DeSanto; Candice M. Chetty-Makkan; Kavindhran Velen; et al. “A qualitative exploration into the presence of TB stigmatization across three districts in South Africa.” BMC Public Health, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-15407-2
Kingsley Orievulu; Collins Iwuji; Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson; et al. “Economic, social and demographic impacts of drought on treatment adherence among people living with HIV in rural South Africa: A qualitative analysis.” Climate Risk Management, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100423
Indira Govender; Alison D. Grant; Aaron S Karat; et al. “Prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Sputum and Reported Symptoms Among Clinic Attendees Compared With a Community Survey in Rural South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab970
Gimenne Zwama; Karina Kielmann; Karin Diaconu; et al. “Health system influences on the implementation of tuberculosis infection prevention and control at health facilities in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review.” BMJ Global Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004735
Matias D. Cattaneo; Rocío Titiunik; Luke Keele. “A guide to regression discontinuity designs in medical applications.” Statistics in Medicine, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9861
Nicky McCreesh; Richard G. White; Aaron S Karat; et al. “Estimating the contribution of transmission in primary healthcare clinics to community-wide TB disease incidence, and the impact of infection prevention and control interventions, in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007136
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Cluster 6: Convergence of HIV, TB, and hypertension in rural South Africa (34 publications)

This cluster examines multimorbidity in rural South Africa - especially KwaZulu-Natal - through population-based surveillance, mobile health camps (Vukuzazi), WHO STEPS surveys, longitudinal cohorts with verbal autopsy, and modelling, alongside a randomised trial of home-based hypertension care. Across studies, hypertension, elevated glucose, HIV, and TB co-occur frequently, with disease control consistently better for HIV than for hypertension or diabetes. Screening alone is insufficient: few individuals link to care after home-based blood pressure screening, particularly younger adults and men, and half of those with chronic conditions have unmet needs spanning diagnosis, engagement, and treatment optimisation. A community health worker– and nurse-supported, app-enabled home model improves blood pressure control over clinic-based care. HIV care platforms appear to bolster the hypertension cascade but less so diabetes. Risk profiles differ by sex and socioeconomic context, with obesity concentrated among women, higher TB and mortality in men, and geospatial clustering of unmet need. ART and HIV status shape adiposity and blood pressure trajectories, and overweight relates to lower mortality risk. Operational priorities include integrated, decentralised chronic care, targeted linkage strategies, and treatment control as a mortality-critical outcome.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Mark J. Siedner; Thomas A. Gaziano; Nombulelo Magula; et al. “Home-Based Care for Hypertension in Rural South Africa.” New England Journal of Medicine, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2509958
Emily Wong; Sashin Harilall; Stephen Olivier; et al. “Convergence of infectious and non-communicable disease epidemics in rural South Africa: a cross-sectional, population-based multimorbidity study.” The Lancet Global Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(21)00176-5
Emily Wong; Sashin Harilall; Stephen Olivier; et al. “The met and unmet health needs for HIV, hypertension, and diabetes in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: analysis of a cross-sectional multimorbidity survey.” The Lancet Global Health, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(23)00239-5
Resign Gunda; Emily Wong; Olivier Koole; et al. “Cohort Profile: The Vukuzazi (‘Wake Up and Know Yourself’ in isiZulu) population science programme.” International Journal of Epidemiology, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab229
Brianna Osetinsky; Omar Galárraga; Jan A. C. Hontelez; et al. “Epidemiological And Health Systems Implications Of Evolving HIV And Hypertension In South Africa And Kenya.” Health Affairs, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.2018.05287
Jennifer Manne-Goehler; Mark J. Siedner; Kathy Baisley; et al. “BMI and All-Cause Mortality in a Population-based Cohort in Rural South Africa.” Obesity, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.23005
Stephen Olivier; Mark J. Siedner; Thomas S. Murray; et al. “Pitfalls of Single Measurement Screening for Diabetes and Hypertension in Community-Based Settings.” Global Heart, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.1083
Monica Sharman; Max Bachmann. “Prevalence and health effects of communicable and non‐communicable disease comorbidity in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13297
Karla I. Galavíz; Samanta Tresha Lalla-Edward; Shivani A. Patel; et al. “Integrating hypertension detection and management in HIV care in South Africa: protocol for a stepped-wedged cluster randomized effectiveness-implementation hybrid trial.” Implementation Science Communications, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43058-024-00640-6
Mark J. Siedner; Max Bachmann; Kathy Baisley; et al. “Linkage to primary care after home-based blood pressure screening in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: a population-based cohort study.” BMJ Open, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023369
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Cluster 7: HIV, pregnancy, breastfeeding, and maternal–infant outcomes in South Africa (45 publications)

This cluster examines how HIV intersects with pregnancy, breastfeeding, and maternal and child health in high-prevalence rural and peri-urban South Africa, particularly KwaZulu-Natal. Using longitudinal cohorts (e.g., Vertical Transmission Study), population-based surveillance, clinic-based retrospective cohorts, and nested case–control virology studies, it addresses maternal morbidity and mental health, HIV acquisition during pregnancy and postpartum, infant feeding practices, and biological cofactors of transmission. Consistently, women living with HIV face greater postpartum morbidity and mortality and higher risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes, modulated by immune status. Postnatal HIV transmission is driven by breast milk viral burden and is amplified by co-infections (notably cytomegalovirus) and inflammatory breast conditions, while antiretroviral prophylaxis and sustained therapy reduce risk. Exclusive breastfeeding, supported by lay counsellor programmes, is achievable and confers survival and diarrheal benefits versus mixed or no breastfeeding, without clear harm from common efavirenz-based regimens; mixed feeding increases transmission. Longer-term child benefits are modest but include less behavioural problems and lower adiposity with sustained breastfeeding. Gaps include integrating depression care into PMTCT, targeted prevention for young multiparous women, and operational strategies to detect and manage breast infections and milk-borne co-pathogens.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Hoosen Coovadia; Marie-Louise Newell; Nigel Rollins; et al. “Mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 infection during exclusive breastfeeding in the first 6 months of life: an intervention cohort study.” The Lancet, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(07)60283-9
Tamsen Rochat; Ruth Bland; Brian Houle; et al. “Exclusive Breastfeeding and Cognition, Executive Function, and Behavioural Disorders in Primary School-Aged Children in Rural South Africa: A Cohort Analysis.” PLOS Medicine, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002044
Brian Houle; Ruth Bland; Tamsen Rochat; et al. “Breastfeeding, HIV exposure, childhood obesity, and prehypertension: A South African cohort study.” PLOS Medicine, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002889
Tamsen Rochat; Alan Stein; Linda Richter; et al. “Depression Among Pregnant Rural South African Women Undergoing HIV Testing.” JAMA, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.295.12.1376
Édouard Tuaillon; Philippe Van de Perre; Johanes Viljoen; et al. “Subclinical mastitis occurs frequently in association with dramatic changes in inflammatory/anti-inflammatory breast milk components.” Pediatric Research, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1038/pr.2016.220
Terusha Chetty; Anna Coutsoudis; Claire Thorne. “Preterm delivery and small-for-gestation outcomes in HIV-infected pregnant women on antiretroviral therapy in rural South Africa: Results from a cohort study, 2010-2015.” PLOS ONE, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0192805
Terusha Chetty; Anna Coutsoudis; Alain Vandormael; et al. “Incident HIV during pregnancy and early postpartum period: a population-based cohort study in a rural area in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-017-1421-6
Angela B White; Jennifer S. Read; Joy Mirjahangir; et al. “Antiretroviral interventions for preventing breast milk transmission of HIV.” Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.cd011323
Dorine Neveu; Marie-Louise Newell; Johannes Viljoen; et al. “Cumulative Exposure to Cell-Free HIV in Breast Milk, Rather Than Feeding Pattern per se, Identifies Postnatally Infected Infants.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciq203
Terusha Chetty; Anna Coutsoudis; Marie-Louise Newell; et al. “Viraemia before, during and after pregnancy in HIV-infected women on antiretroviral therapy in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 2010–2015.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13001
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Cluster 8: DREAMS HIV prevention for adolescent girls and young women in Kenya and South Africa (15 publications)

This cluster evaluates the multi-sectoral DREAMS package for adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in Nairobi informal settlements, rural Gem/Siaya, and rural KwaZulu-Natal. Using population-based cohorts randomly drawn from demographic platforms with annual follow-up, cross-sectional surveys, causal analyses, and qualitative studies, researchers asked who was reached, which interventions were layered, and whether knowledge of status, behaviours, violence, empowerment, and HIV incidence changed. Awareness and invitations increased over time, especially among younger and in-school AGYW. HIV testing, school-based education, and social asset building were commonly accessed, yet few received the full primary package; parenting, community mobilisation, and services engaging male partners were underused. DREAMS increased knowledge of HIV status - most strongly in Kenya and among younger AGYW - and modestly improved social support and some behavioural outcomes, but PrEP use remained low, and there was no consistent reduction in gender-based violence or HIV/HSV-2 incidence. Persistent gender norms, poverty, mental health needs, and household power dynamics constrained impact. Operational lessons emphasise adaptable, youth-engaged delivery; stronger links to PrEP and condoms; integration of mental health; meaningful male partner and caregiver engagement; and building on local infrastructure to achieve true layering.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Isolde Birdthistle; Daniel Kwaro; Maryam Shahmanesh; et al. “Evaluating the impact of DREAMS on HIV incidence among adolescent girls and young women: A population-based cohort study in Kenya and South Africa.” PLoS Medicine, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003837
Natsayi Chimbindi; Maryam Shahmanesh; Isolde Birdthistle; et al. “Directed and target focused multi‐sectoral adolescent HIV prevention: Insights from implementation of the ‘DREAMS Partnership’ in rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25575
Annabelle Gourlay; Isolde Birdthistle; Sian Floyd; et al. “Impact of the DREAMS Partnership on social support and general self-efficacy among adolescent girls and young women: causal analysis of population-based cohorts in Kenya and South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006965
Sian Floyd; Isolde Birdthistle; Sarah Mulwa; et al. “DREAMS impact on HIV status knowledge and sexual risk among cohorts of young women in Kenya and South Africa.” AIDS, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003157
Nondumiso Mthiyane; Maryam Shahmanesh; Kathy Baisley; et al. “The association of exposure to DREAMS on sexually acquiring or transmitting HIV amongst adolescent girls and young women living in rural South Africa.” AIDS, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003156
Nondumiso Mthiyane; Lorraine Sherr; Guy Harling; et al. “Common mental disorders and HIV status in the context of DREAMS among adolescent girls and young women in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-10527-z
Natsayi Chimbindi; Maryam Shahmanesh; Nondumiso Mthiyane; et al. “Persistently high incidence of HIV and poor service uptake in adolescent girls and young women in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa prior to DREAMS.” PLOS ONE, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0203193
Annabelle Gourlay; Sian Floyd; Isolde Birdthistle; et al. “Awareness and uptake of layered HIV prevention programming for young women: analysis of population-based surveys in three DREAMS settings in Kenya and South Africa.” BMC Public Health, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-7766-1
Isolde Birdthistle; Sian Floyd; Daniel J. Carter; et al. “Early impact of the DREAMS partnership on young women’s knowledge of their HIV status: causal analysis of population-based surveys in Kenya and South Africa.” Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-216042
Thembelihle Zuma; Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; et al. “A socio-ecological approach to understanding experiences and perceptions of a multilevel HIV prevention intervention: The determined, resilient, empowered, AIDS-free, mentored, and safe (DREAMS) partnership in uMkhanyakude, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” SSM - Qualitative Research in Health, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmqr.2022.100138
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Cluster 9: Age, partner age-mixing, mobility, and HIV risk in rural South Africa (83 publications)

This cluster examines how age, partnership patterns, and mobility shape HIV and sexual health in hyperendemic rural KwaZulu-Natal. Population-based surveillance cohorts, Cox and additive models, and nested biomarker surveys assess HIV incidence by partner age pairings, migration predictors, and STI/BV prevalence; mixed-methods and modelling studies explore social gradients and programme responses. Evidence converges that specific age pairings drive risk: young women partnering with men in their late twenties to early thirties face elevated incidence, while for women over 30, older male partners may confer lower risk. Partner age effects are independent of one’s own age, and HIV-seroconcordant coupling exceeds random mixing, suggesting assortativity. Non-resident and newly migrant youth report more risk behaviours; community ART coverage is associated with reduced out-migration. STI/BV burden among adolescents and young adults is high and frequently asymptomatic. Alcohol-attributable mortality disproportionately affects lower socioeconomic groups. Findings challenge simple concurrency narratives and highlight operational needs: age- and mobility-tailored prevention, integrated PrEP within routine SRH (including for young women who sell sex), youth-friendly nonjudgmental services, asymptomatic STI screening, and edutainment-delivered safe spaces engaging families.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Frank Tanser; Marie-Louise Newell; Till Bärnighausen; et al. “Effect of concurrent sexual partnerships on rate of new HIV infections in a high-prevalence, rural South African population: a cohort study.” The Lancet, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60779-4
Frank Tanser; Marie-Louise Newell; Till Bärnighausen; et al. “Role of concurrency in generalised HIV epidemics – Authors' reply.” The Lancet, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)61806-0
Suzanna C. Francis; Maryam Shahmanesh; Thobile Mthiyane; et al. “Prevalence of sexually transmitted infections among young people in South Africa: A nested survey in a health and demographic surveillance site.” PLOS Medicine, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002512
Nuala McGrath; Victoria Hosegood; Jeffrey W. Eaton; et al. “Migration, sexual behaviour, and HIV risk: a general population cohort in rural South Africa.” The Lancet HIV, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(15)00045-4
Charlotte Probst; Jürgen Rehm; Charles Parry; et al. “The socioeconomic profile of alcohol-attributable mortality in South Africa: a modelling study.” BMC Medicine, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-018-1080-0
Nambusi Kyegombe; Maryam Shahmanesh; Thembelihle Zuma; et al. “A qualitative exploration of the salience of MTV-Shuga, an edutainment programme, and adolescents’ engagement with sexual and reproductive health information in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Sexual and Reproductive Health Matters, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/26410397.2022.2083809
Natsayi Chimbindi; Maryam Shahmanesh; Nondumiso Mthiyane; et al. “Antiretroviral therapy based HIV prevention targeting young women who sell sex: a mixed method approach to understand the implementation of PrEP in a rural area of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS Care, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2021.1902933
Sarah Bernays; Janet Seeley; Chloe Lanyon; et al. “Being young and on the move in South Africa: how ‘waithood’ exacerbates HIV risks and disrupts the success of current HIV prevention interventions.” Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450128.2020.1739359
Thembelihle Zuma; Maryam Shahmanesh; Janet Seeley; et al. “Young people’s experiences of sexual and reproductive health interventions in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” International Journal of Adolescence and Youth, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/02673843.2020.1831558
Armstrong Dzomba; Frank Tanser; Andrew Tomita; et al. “Effects of Migration on Risky Sexual Behavior and HIV Acquisition in South Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis, 2000–2017.” AIDS and Behavior, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2367-z
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Cluster 10: HIV viral load, resistance, and treatment outcomes in rural South Africa (22 publications)

This cluster examines HIV viral load monitoring, drug resistance, and antiretroviral therapy performance in hyperendemic rural South Africa, chiefly KwaZulu-Natal and the Eastern Cape, using population-based surveillance, clinic registries (including TIER.Net), national laboratory databases, genotypic/sequencing studies, programme case studies, and a planned cluster-randomised quality-improvement trial. Consistent findings are that pretreatment drug resistance, especially to NNRTIs, rose to levels that undermine efavirenz-based first-line therapy, while integrase inhibitor resistance remains rare, supporting the transition to dolutegravir. Unsuppressed viral load is concentrated among young, mobile women and residents of geographic hotspots; high viral load is linked to pregnancy loss. Routine care shows gaps: suboptimal viral load monitoring, slow failure management, and frequent second-line protease inhibitor failures, exacerbated by tuberculosis treatment, though many patients resuppress with monitoring. After dolutegravir rollout, overall viral loads declined, yet moderate viremia and spatial hotspots persist, and declines among people with HIV did not translate into lower population-level viremia. Operational lessons emphasise strengthening monitoring via electronic data integration, result triage “champions,” and dashboards; accelerating the failure cascade; geotargeted and youth-focused interventions; resistance surveillance (including rilpivirine screening before long-acting CAB/RPV); and tracking viremia in the whole population.

Top ranked publications in this cluster

Steven A. Kemp; Ravindra K. Gupta; Kimia Kamelian; et al. “HIV transmission dynamics and population-wide drug resistance in rural South Africa.” Nature Communications, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47254-z
Suzanne M. McCluskey; Mark J. Siedner; Toby Pepperrell; et al. “Adherence, resistance, and viral suppression on dolutegravir in sub-Saharan Africa: implications for the TLD era.” AIDS, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003082
Dami A. Collier; Ravindra K. Gupta; Collins Iwuji; et al. “Virological Outcomes of Second-line Protease Inhibitor–Based Treatment for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 in a High-Prevalence Rural South African Setting: A Competing-Risks Prospective Cohort Analysis.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cix015
Collins Iwuji; Kathy Baisley; Maryam Shahmanesh; et al. “Clinical outcomes after first-line HIV treatment failure in South Africa: the next cascade of care.” HIV Medicine, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12877
Alain Vandormael; Frank Tanser; Till Bärnighausen; et al. “Longitudinal Trends in the Prevalence of Detectable HIV Viremia: Population-Based Evidence From Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cix976
A Kippen; Collins Iwuji; Londiwe Nzimande; et al. “The viral load monitoring cascade in HIV treatment programmes in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review.” BMC Public Health, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-20013-x
Andrew Tomita; Frank Tanser; Alain Vandormael; et al. “Sociobehavioral and community predictors of unsuppressed HIV viral load.” AIDS, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002100
Benjamin Chimukangara; Túlio de Oliveira; Ayesha B. M. Kharsanyet al. “Moderate-to-High Levels of Pretreatment HIV Drug Resistance in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.” AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1089/aid.2018.0202
Yoshan Moodley; Frank Tanser; Andrew Tomita; et al. “HIV viral load and pregnancy loss: results from a population-based cohort study in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002799
Theresa M. Rossouw; Túlio de Oliveira; Martin Nieuwoudtet al. “HIV drug resistance levels in adults failing first‐line antiretroviral therapy in an urban and a rural setting in South Africa.” HIV Medicine, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12400
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Bibliography

Dickman Gareta et al. “Cohort Profile Update: Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS) and population-based HIV survey.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2020). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa264
Frank Tanser, V. H., Till Bärnighausen, Kobus Herbst, Makandwe Nyirenda, William Muhwava, Colin Newell, Johannes Viljoen, Tinofa Mutevedzi, Marie-Louise Newell. “Cohort Profile: Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS) and population-based HIV survey.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2007). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dym211
Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, Hoosen Coovadia, Anna Coutsoudis, & Nigel Rollins. “Cohort Profile: Mamanengane or the Africa Centre Vertical Transmission Study.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2009). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyp165
Catherine Houlihan et al. “Cohort Profile: Hlabisa HIV Treatment and Care Programme.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2010). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyp402
Terusha Chetty, Anna Coutsoudis, Claire Thorne, Frank Tanser, & Till Bärnighausen. “Cohort profile: the Hlabisa pregnancy cohort, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMJ Open, (2016). https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2016-012088
Tamsen Rochat et al. “Cohort Profile: The Siyakhula Cohort, rural South Africa.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2017). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyx148
Mark Collinson et al. “Cohort Profile: South African Population Research Infrastructure Network (SAPRIN).” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2021). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab261
Resign Gunda et al. “Cohort Profile: The Vukuzazi (‘Wake Up and Know Yourself’ in isiZulu) population science programme.” Int. J. Epidemiol., (2021). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab229

Publications

Cluster 1 Publications
Andrew Gibbs, Maryam Shahmanesh, Dumsani Gumede, et al. “Adaptation and Pre-Test of a Shortened Stepping Stones and Creating Futures Intervention Focused on HIV for Young Men in Rural South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001632
Carmen Christian, Alan Stein, Lungiswa Nkonki, et al. “Protocol of a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Combined Intervention for Depression and Parenting Compared with Enhanced Standard of Care for Perinatally Depressed, HIV-Positive Women and Their Infants in Rural South Africa.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082977
Delphine Perriat, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Mélanie Plazy, et al. “‘If You Are Here at the Clinic, You Do Not Know How Many People Need Help in the Community’: Perspectives of Home-Based HIV Services from Health Care Workers in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa in the Era of Universal Test-and-Treat.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0202473
Fatma Abdelkhalek, Nuala McGrath, Phillip Joseph, et al. “Two-Way Associations between Relationship Quality and Uptake of Couples Health Screening Including HIV Testing and Counselling Together: Quantitative Analysis of a Couples Cohort in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2024.2308741
Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Home‐Based Intervention to Test and Start (HITS): A Community‐randomized Controlled Trial to Increase HIV Testing Uptake among Men in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25665
Glory Chidumwa, Maryam Shahmanesh, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “Isisekelo Sempilo Study Protocol for the Effectiveness of HIV Prevention Embedded in Sexual Health with or without Peer Navigator Support (Thetha Nami) to Reduce Prevalence of Transmissible HIV amongst Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal: A 2 × 2 Factorial Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-12796-8
Grace Nduku Wambua, Nothando Ngwenya, Alan Stein, et al. “Adaptation and Feasibility of WHO PM+ for Adolescents Living with HIV in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa: An Implementation Feasibility Study Protocol.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-088992
H. Manisha Yapa, Sally Wyke, Wendy Dhlomo-Mphatswe, et al. “A Continuous Quality Improvement Intervention to Improve Antenatal HIV Care Testing in Rural South Africa: Evaluation of Implementation in a Real-World Setting.” International Journal of Health Policy and Management, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.34172/ijhpm.2020.178
H. Manisha Yapa, Till Bärnighausen, Jan‐Walter De Neve, et al. “The Impact of Continuous Quality Improvement on Coverage of Antenatal HIV Care Tests in Rural South Africa: Results of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster-Randomised Controlled Implementation Trial.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003150
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Maxime Inghels, et al. “Effect of a Male-Targeted Digital Decision Support Application Aimed at Increasing Linkage to HIV Care Among Men: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial in Rural South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-024-04465-1
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Maxime Inghels, et al. “The Impact of a Conditional Financial Incentive on Linkage to HIV Care: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial in Rural South Africa.” Nan, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.15.24304278
Jacob Busang, Maryam Shahmanesh, Thembelihle Zuma, et al. “Thetha Nami Ngithethe Nawe (Let’s Talk): A Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomised Trial of Social Mobilisation by Peer Navigators into Community-Based Sexual Health and HIV Care, Including Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP), to Reduce Sexually Transmissible HIV amongst Young People in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-16262-x
Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, John Imrie, Joseph Larmarange, et al. “Addressing Social Issues in a Universal HIV Test and Treat Intervention Trial (ANRS 12249 TasP) in South Africa: Methods for Appraisal.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1344-y
Keletso Makofane, Till Bärnighausen, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Impact of Family Networks on Uptake of Health Interventions: Evidence from a Community‐randomized Control Trial Aimed at Increasing HIV Testing in South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26142
KJ Baisley, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “Findings from Home‐based HIV Testing and Facilitated Linkage after Scale‐up of Test and Treat in Rural South Africa: Young People Still Missing.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12787
Mark E. McGovern, Till Bärnighausen, Kobus Herbst, et al. “Do Gifts Increase Consent to Home-Based HIV Testing? A Difference-in-Differences Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyw122
Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, Nonhlanhla Okesola, et al. “Thetha Nami: Participatory Development of a Peer-Navigator Intervention to Deliver Biosocial HIV Prevention for Adolescents and Youth in Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11399-z
Maryam Shahmanesh, Kathy Baisley, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “Effectiveness of Integrating HIV Prevention within Sexual Reproductive Health Services with or without Peer Support among Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (Isisekelo Sempilo): 2 × 2 Factorial, Open-Label, Randomised Controlled Trial.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(24)00119-x
Matthew Johnson, Nuala McGrath, Lynae A. Darbes, et al. “Social Influence and Uptake of Couples HIV Testing and Counselling in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03435-1
Maxime Inghels, Frank Tanser, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Can a Conditional Financial Incentive (CFI) Reduce Socio-Demographic Inequalities in Home-Based HIV Testing Uptake? A Secondary Analysis of the HITS Clinical Trial Intervention in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.115305
Maxime Inghels, Frank Tanser, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Population Impacts of Conditional Financial Incentives and a Male‐targeted Digital Decision Support Application on the HIV Treatment Cascade in Rural KwaZulu Natal: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26248
Mélanie Plazy, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Adama Diallo, et al. “Implementation and Effectiveness of a Linkage to HIV Care Intervention in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280479
Mélanie Plazy, Rosemary Dray‐Spira, Kamal El Farouki, et al. “Access to HIV Care in the Context of Universal Test and Treat: Challenges within the ANRS 12249 TasP Cluster‐randomized Trial in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.7448/ias.19.1.20913
Mosa Moshabela, Nuala McGrath, Thembelihle Zuma, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Collins Iwuji, and Joseph Larmarange. “‘It Is Better to Die’: Experiences of Traditional Health Practitioners within the HIV Treatment as Prevention Trial Communities in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2016.1181296
Nina von Knorring, Ute Jentsch, Mitzy Gafos, and Motsei Ramokonupi. “Quality Control and Performance of HIV Rapid Tests in a Microbicide Clinical Trial in Rural KwaZulu-Natal.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0030728
Nsika Sithole, Adrienne E. Shapiro, Maryam Shahmanesh, et al. “Implementation of HIV Self-Testing to Reach Men in Rural uMkhanyakude, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. a DO-ART Trial Sub Study.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.652887
Nsika Sithole, Adrienne E. Shapiro, Olivier Koole, et al. “Secondary Distribution of HIV Self-Testing Kits to Social and Sexual Networks of PLWH in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. A Brief Report.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.855625
Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Ruth Bland, Deven Patel, et al. “Rapid Testing May Not Improve Uptake of HIV Testing and Same Day Results in a Rural South African Community: A Cohort Study of 12,000 Women.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0003501
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Carina Herbst, et al. “Exploring People’s Candidacy for Mobile Health–Supported HIV Testing and Care Services in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Qualitative Study.” Journal of Medical Internet Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2196/15681
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Acceptability of a Tablet-Based Application to Support Early HIV Testing among Men in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Mixed Method Study.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2020.1742867
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “Process Evaluation of Peer-to-Peer Delivery of HIV Self-Testing and Sexual Health Information to Support HIV Prevention among Youth in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Qualitative Analysis.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-048780
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Nondumiso Mthiyane, et al. “Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial to Determine the Effect of Peer Delivery HIV Self-Testing to Support Linkage to HIV Prevention among Young Women in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Study Protocol.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-033435
Sabina Govere, Ingrid V. Bassett, Jana Jarolimova, et al. “Uptake of HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and Contraception in South African Hair Salons: A Study Protocol for a Pilot Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083621
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Samukelisiwe Dube, et al. “An Evaluation of a Combined Psychological and Parenting Intervention for HIV-Positive Women Depressed in the Perinatal Period, to Enhance Child Development and Reduce Maternal Depression: Study Protocol for the Insika Yomama Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.” Trials, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-021-05672-0
Terusha Chetty, Till Bärnighausen, H. Manisha Yapa, et al. “The MONARCH Intervention to Enhance the Quality of Antenatal and Postnatal Primary Health Services in Rural South Africa: Protocol for a Stepped-Wedge Cluster-Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-018-3404-3
Thembelihle Zuma, Maryam Shahmanesh, Jacob Busang, et al. “A Mixed Methods Process Evaluation: Understanding the Implementation and Delivery of HIV Prevention Services Integrated within Sexual Reproductive Health (SRH) with or without Peer Support amongst Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Trials, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-024-08279-3
Thulile Mathenjwa, Ann Blandford, Oluwafemi Adeagbo, et al. “Development and Acceptability of a Tablet-Based App to Support Men to Link to HIV Care: Mixed Methods Approach.” JMIR mHealth and uHealth, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2196/17549
Thulile Mathenjwa, Frank Tanser, Hee Young Kim, et al. “Home-Based Intervention to Test and Start (HITS) Protocol: A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial to Reduce HIV-Related Mortality in Men and HIV Incidence in Women through Increased Coverage of HIV Treatment.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-7277-0
Thulile Mathenjwa, Janet Seeley, Luchuo Engelbert Bain, et al. “Increasing HIV Testing and Linkage to Care among Men in Rural South Africa Using Conditional Financial Incentives and a Decision Support App: A Process Evaluation.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0003364
Cluster 2 Publications
Carmen Christian, Alan Stein, Lungiswa Nkonki, et al. “Protocol of a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of a Combined Intervention for Depression and Parenting Compared with Enhanced Standard of Care for Perinatally Depressed, HIV-Positive Women and Their Infants in Rural South Africa.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082977
Delphine Perriat, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Mélanie Plazy, et al. “‘If You Are Here at the Clinic, You Do Not Know How Many People Need Help in the Community’: Perspectives of Home-Based HIV Services from Health Care Workers in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa in the Era of Universal Test-and-Treat.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0202473
Fatma Abdelkhalek, Nuala McGrath, Phillip Joseph, et al. “Two-Way Associations between Relationship Quality and Uptake of Couples Health Screening Including HIV Testing and Counselling Together: Quantitative Analysis of a Couples Cohort in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2024.2308741
Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Home‐Based Intervention to Test and Start (HITS): A Community‐randomized Controlled Trial to Increase HIV Testing Uptake among Men in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25665
Glory Chidumwa, Maryam Shahmanesh, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “Isisekelo Sempilo Study Protocol for the Effectiveness of HIV Prevention Embedded in Sexual Health with or without Peer Navigator Support (Thetha Nami) to Reduce Prevalence of Transmissible HIV amongst Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal: A 2 × 2 Factorial Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-12796-8
Grace Nduku Wambua, Nothando Ngwenya, Alan Stein, et al. “Adaptation and Feasibility of WHO PM+ for Adolescents Living with HIV in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa: An Implementation Feasibility Study Protocol.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-088992
H. Manisha Yapa, Sally Wyke, Wendy Dhlomo-Mphatswe, et al. “A Continuous Quality Improvement Intervention to Improve Antenatal HIV Care Testing in Rural South Africa: Evaluation of Implementation in a Real-World Setting.” International Journal of Health Policy and Management, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.34172/ijhpm.2020.178
H. Manisha Yapa, Till Bärnighausen, Jan‐Walter De Neve, et al. “The Impact of Continuous Quality Improvement on Coverage of Antenatal HIV Care Tests in Rural South Africa: Results of a Stepped-Wedge Cluster-Randomised Controlled Implementation Trial.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003150
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Maxime Inghels, et al. “Effect of a Male-Targeted Digital Decision Support Application Aimed at Increasing Linkage to HIV Care Among Men: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial in Rural South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-024-04465-1
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Maxime Inghels, et al. “The Impact of a Conditional Financial Incentive on Linkage to HIV Care: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial in Rural South Africa.” Nan, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.15.24304278
Jacob Busang, Maryam Shahmanesh, Thembelihle Zuma, et al. “Thetha Nami Ngithethe Nawe (Let’s Talk): A Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomised Trial of Social Mobilisation by Peer Navigators into Community-Based Sexual Health and HIV Care, Including Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP), to Reduce Sexually Transmissible HIV amongst Young People in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-16262-x
Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, John Imrie, Joseph Larmarange, et al. “Addressing Social Issues in a Universal HIV Test and Treat Intervention Trial (ANRS 12249 TasP) in South Africa: Methods for Appraisal.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1344-y
Keletso Makofane, Till Bärnighausen, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Impact of Family Networks on Uptake of Health Interventions: Evidence from a Community‐randomized Control Trial Aimed at Increasing HIV Testing in South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26142
KJ Baisley, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “Findings from Home‐based HIV Testing and Facilitated Linkage after Scale‐up of Test and Treat in Rural South Africa: Young People Still Missing.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12787
Mark E. McGovern, Till Bärnighausen, Kobus Herbst, et al. “Do Gifts Increase Consent to Home-Based HIV Testing? A Difference-in-Differences Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyw122
Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, Nonhlanhla Okesola, et al. “Thetha Nami: Participatory Development of a Peer-Navigator Intervention to Deliver Biosocial HIV Prevention for Adolescents and Youth in Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11399-z
Maryam Shahmanesh, Kathy Baisley, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “Effectiveness of Integrating HIV Prevention within Sexual Reproductive Health Services with or without Peer Support among Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (Isisekelo Sempilo): 2 × 2 Factorial, Open-Label, Randomised Controlled Trial.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(24)00119-x
Matthew Johnson, Nuala McGrath, Lynae A. Darbes, et al. “Social Influence and Uptake of Couples HIV Testing and Counselling in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03435-1
Maxime Inghels, Frank Tanser, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Can a Conditional Financial Incentive (CFI) Reduce Socio-Demographic Inequalities in Home-Based HIV Testing Uptake? A Secondary Analysis of the HITS Clinical Trial Intervention in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.115305
Maxime Inghels, Frank Tanser, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Population Impacts of Conditional Financial Incentives and a Male‐targeted Digital Decision Support Application on the HIV Treatment Cascade in Rural KwaZulu Natal: Findings from the HITS Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26248
Mélanie Plazy, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Adama Diallo, et al. “Implementation and Effectiveness of a Linkage to HIV Care Intervention in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280479
Mélanie Plazy, Rosemary Dray‐Spira, Kamal El Farouki, et al. “Access to HIV Care in the Context of Universal Test and Treat: Challenges within the ANRS 12249 TasP Cluster‐randomized Trial in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.7448/ias.19.1.20913
Mosa Moshabela, Nuala McGrath, Thembelihle Zuma, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Collins Iwuji, and Joseph Larmarange. “‘It Is Better to Die’: Experiences of Traditional Health Practitioners within the HIV Treatment as Prevention Trial Communities in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2016.1181296
Nina von Knorring, Ute Jentsch, Mitzy Gafos, and Motsei Ramokonupi. “Quality Control and Performance of HIV Rapid Tests in a Microbicide Clinical Trial in Rural KwaZulu-Natal.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0030728
Nsika Sithole, Adrienne E. Shapiro, Maryam Shahmanesh, et al. “Implementation of HIV Self-Testing to Reach Men in Rural uMkhanyakude, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. a DO-ART Trial Sub Study.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.652887
Nsika Sithole, Adrienne E. Shapiro, Olivier Koole, et al. “Secondary Distribution of HIV Self-Testing Kits to Social and Sexual Networks of PLWH in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. A Brief Report.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.855625
Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Ruth Bland, Deven Patel, et al. “Rapid Testing May Not Improve Uptake of HIV Testing and Same Day Results in a Rural South African Community: A Cohort Study of 12,000 Women.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0003501
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Carina Herbst, et al. “Exploring People’s Candidacy for Mobile Health–Supported HIV Testing and Care Services in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Qualitative Study.” Journal of Medical Internet Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2196/15681
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “Acceptability of a Tablet-Based Application to Support Early HIV Testing among Men in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Mixed Method Study.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2020.1742867
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “Process Evaluation of Peer-to-Peer Delivery of HIV Self-Testing and Sexual Health Information to Support HIV Prevention among Youth in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Qualitative Analysis.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-048780
Oluwafemi Adeagbo, Maryam Shahmanesh, Nondumiso Mthiyane, et al. “Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial to Determine the Effect of Peer Delivery HIV Self-Testing to Support Linkage to HIV Prevention among Young Women in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Study Protocol.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-033435
Sabina Govere, Ingrid V. Bassett, Jana Jarolimova, et al. “Uptake of HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and Contraception in South African Hair Salons: A Study Protocol for a Pilot Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083621
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Samukelisiwe Dube, et al. “An Evaluation of a Combined Psychological and Parenting Intervention for HIV-Positive Women Depressed in the Perinatal Period, to Enhance Child Development and Reduce Maternal Depression: Study Protocol for the Insika Yomama Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.” Trials, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-021-05672-0
Terusha Chetty, Till Bärnighausen, H. Manisha Yapa, et al. “The MONARCH Intervention to Enhance the Quality of Antenatal and Postnatal Primary Health Services in Rural South Africa: Protocol for a Stepped-Wedge Cluster-Randomised Controlled Trial.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-018-3404-3
Thembelihle Zuma, Maryam Shahmanesh, Jacob Busang, et al. “A Mixed Methods Process Evaluation: Understanding the Implementation and Delivery of HIV Prevention Services Integrated within Sexual Reproductive Health (SRH) with or without Peer Support amongst Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Trials, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-024-08279-3
Thulile Mathenjwa, Ann Blandford, Oluwafemi Adeagbo, et al. “Development and Acceptability of a Tablet-Based App to Support Men to Link to HIV Care: Mixed Methods Approach.” JMIR mHealth and uHealth, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2196/17549
Thulile Mathenjwa, Frank Tanser, Hee Young Kim, et al. “Home-Based Intervention to Test and Start (HITS) Protocol: A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial to Reduce HIV-Related Mortality in Men and HIV Incidence in Women through Increased Coverage of HIV Treatment.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-7277-0
Thulile Mathenjwa, Janet Seeley, Luchuo Engelbert Bain, et al. “Increasing HIV Testing and Linkage to Care among Men in Rural South Africa Using Conditional Financial Incentives and a Decision Support App: A Process Evaluation.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0003364
Cluster 3 Publications
Abraham J Herbst, Marie‐Louise Newell, Graham Cooke, Till Bärnighausen, Angelique KanyKany, and Frank Tanser. “Adult Mortality and Antiretroviral Treatment Roll-out in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.2471/blt.08.058982
Abraham Malaza, Marie‐Louise Newell, Joël Mossong, Till Bärnighausen, and Johannes Viljoen. “Population-Based CD4 Counts in a Rural Area in South Africa with High HIV Prevalence and High Antiretroviral Treatment Coverage.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0070126
Alain Vandormael, Frank Tanser, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Till Bärnighausen. “Use of Antiretroviral Therapy in Households and Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 2004–12: A Prospective Cohort Study.” The Lancet Global Health, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(14)70018-x
Alain Vandormael, Túlio de Oliveira, Filipe FA Rego, Siva Danaviah, Luíz Carlos Júnior Alcântara, and David R. Boulware. “CD4+ T-Cell Count May Not Be a Useful Strategy to Monitor Antiretroviral Therapy Response in HTLV-1/HIV Co-Infected Patients.” Current HIV Research, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.2174/1570162x15666170216114917
Andréa Gosset, Sylvie Boyer, Camélia Protopopescu, et al. “Retention in Care Trajectories of HIV-Positive Individuals Participating in a Universal Test-and-Treat Program in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000001938
Andrew Tomita, Frank Tanser, Catherine M. Smith, et al. “Space-Time Clustering of Recently-Diagnosed Tuberculosis and Impact of ART Scale-up: Evidence from an HIV Hyper-Endemic Rural South African Population.” Scientific Reports, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46455-7
Angela Y. Chang, Joshua A. Salomon, Noah Haber, et al. “Improving the Validity of Mathematical Models for HIV Elimination by Incorporating Empirical Estimates of Progression Through the HIV Treatment Cascade.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000001852
Ankie Lebon, Marie‐Louise Newell, Ruth Bland, Nigel Rollins, Anna Coutsoudis, and Hoosen Coovadia. “Short Communication: CD4 Counts of HIV‐infected Pregnant Women and Their Infected Children – Implications for PMTCT and Treatment Programmes.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2007.01954.x
Astrid Treffry-Goatley, Janet Seeley, Richard Lessells, et al. “Understanding Specific Contexts of Antiretroviral Therapy Adherence in Rural South Africa: A Thematic Analysis of Digital Stories from a Community with High HIV Prevalence.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148801
Bronwynè Coetzee, Ruth Bland, and Ashraf Kagee. “Shortcomings of Adherence Counselling Provided to Caregivers of Children Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2016.1176675
Bryan Patenaude, Till Bärnighausen, Natsayi Chimbindi, and Deenan Pillay. “The Impact of ART Initiation on Household Food Security over Time.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2017.11.036
Catherine E. Oldenburg, Guy Harling, Till Bärnighausen, et al. “Antiretroviral Therapy to Prevent HIV Acquisition in Serodiscordant Couples in a Hyperendemic Community in Rural South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciw335
Catherine E. Oldenburg, Till Bärnighausen, George R. Seage, et al. “Antiretroviral Therapy and Mortality in Rural South Africa: A Comparison of Causal Modeling Approaches.” American Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwy065
Catherine E. Oldenburg, Till Bärnighausen, Jacob Bor, et al. “Impact of Early Antiretroviral Therapy Eligibility on HIV Acquisition.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000001737
Catherine Houlihan, Marie‐Louise Newell, Ruth Bland, et al. “Cohort Profile: Hlabisa HIV Treatment and Care Programme.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyp402
Collin Payne and Hans‐Peter Kohler. “The Population-Level Impact of Public-Sector Antiretroviral Therapy Rollout on Adult Mortality in Rural Malawi.” Demographic Research, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2017.36.37
Collins Iwuji, Dominic Kniveton, Kathy Baisley, et al. “The Impact of Drought on HIV Care in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.” EcoHealth, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10393-023-01647-6
Collins Iwuji, François Dabis, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, et al. “Evaluation of the Impact of Immediate versus WHO Recommendations-Guided Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation on HIV Incidence: The ANRS 12249 TasP (Treatment as Prevention) Trial in Hlabisa Sub-District, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Study Protocol for a Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.” Trials, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/1745-6215-14-230
Collins Iwuji, François Dabis, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, et al. “Uptake of Home-Based HIV Testing, Linkage to Care, and Community Attitudes about ART in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Descriptive Results from the First Phase of the ANRS 12249 TasP Cluster-Randomised Trial.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002107
Collins Iwuji, Janet Seeley, Rujeko Samanthia Chimukuche, et al. “Test but Not Treat: Community Members’ Experiences with Barriers and Facilitators to Universal Antiretroviral Therapy Uptake in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0239513
Daniel Ankrah, Hubert G. M. Leufkens, Margaret Lartey, and Aukje K. Mantel‐Teeuwisse. “Five-Year Trends in Treatment Changes in an Adult Cohort of HIV/AIDS Patients in Ghana: A Retrospective Cohort Study.” BMC Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-017-2752-7
Danny J.J. Wang, Na Zhang, Guoyong Wang, et al. “The Care Status and Factors Affecting Antiretroviral Therapy Timing for People Living with HIV: A Retrospective Cohort Study in Shandong Province, China.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2023.2185197
Diane V. Havlir, François Dabis, Shahin Lockman, et al. “What Do the Universal Test and Treat Trials Tell Us about the Path to HIV Epidemic Control?” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25455
Emma Slaymaker, Basia Żaba, Estelle McLean, et al. “The Network for Analysing Longitudinal Population-Based HIV/AIDS Data on Africa (ALPHA): Data on Mortality, by HIV Status and Stage on the HIV Care Continuum, among the General Population in Seven Longitudinal Studies between 1989 and 2014.” Gates Open Research, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.12688/gatesopenres.12753.1
Emma Slaymaker, Basia Żaba, Jim Todd, et al. “How Have ART Treatment Programmes Changed the Patterns of Excess Mortality in People Living with HIV? Estimates from Four Countries in East and Southern Africa.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v7.22789
Eric L. Ross, Rochelle P. Walensky, Frank Tanser, et al. “The Impact of the 2013 WHO Antiretroviral Therapy Guidelines on the Feasibility of HIV Population Prevention Trials.” HIV Clinical Trials, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1310/hct1505-185
Francis Yeji, Till Bärnighausen, Kerstin Klipstein‐Grobusch, Marie‐Louise Newell, Lisa R. Hirschhorn, and Victoria Hosegood. “Are Social Support and HIV Coping Strategies Associated with Lower Depression in Adults on Antiretroviral Treatment? Evidence from Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2014.931561
Frank Tanser, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Erofili Grapsa, and Jaffer Zaidi. “High Coverage of ART Associated with Decline in Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Science, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1228160
Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, Hae‐Young Kim, Alain Vandormael, and Collins Iwuji. “Opportunities and Challenges in HIV Treatment as Prevention Research: Results from the ANRS 12249 Cluster-Randomized Trial and Associated Population Cohort.” Current HIV/AIDS Reports, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11904-020-00487-1
Georges Reniers, Basia Żaba, Emma Slaymaker, et al. “Mortality Trends in the Era of Antiretroviral Therapy.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000000496
Georges Reniers, Victoria Hosegood, Sylvia Blom, et al. “Trends in the Burden of HIV Mortality after Roll-out of Antiretroviral Therapy in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: An Observational Community Cohort Study.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(16)30225-9
Graham Cooke, Marie‐Louise Newell, Frank Tanser, and Till Bärnighausen. “Population Uptake of Antiretroviral Treatment through Primary Care in Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-585
H. Manisha Yapa, Jacob Bor, Hae‐Young Kim, et al. “CD4+ T-Cell Count at Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in the ‘Treat-All’ Era in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab650
Hannah Gilbert, Norma C. Ware, Monique A. Wyatt, et al. “How Community ART Delivery May Improve HIV Treatment Outcomes: Qualitative Inquiry into Mechanisms of Effect in a Randomized Trial of Community‐based ART Initiation, Monitoring and Re‐supply (DO ART) in South Africa and Uganda.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25821
Hilda Ganesen-Moothusamy and Mergan Naidoo. “Initiation of Antiretroviral Therapy at Rural Primary Health Care Clinics in KwaZulu Natal.” Health SA Gesondheid, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.4102/hsag.v18i1.658
Jacob Bor, Dorina Onoya, Charlie B. Fischer, et al. “Changing Knowledge and Attitudes Towards HIV Treatment-as-Prevention and ‘Undetectable = Untransmittable’: A Systematic Review.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03296-8
Jacob Bor, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Colin Newell, and Frank Tanser. “Social Exposure to an Antiretroviral Treatment Programme in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2011.02795.x
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Abraham J Herbst, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Increases in Adult Life Expectancy in Rural South Africa: Valuing the Scale-Up of HIV Treatment.” Science, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1230413
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Calvin Chiu, et al. “Failure to Initiate HIV Treatment in Patients with High CD4 Counts: Evidence from Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13013
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Ellen Moscoe, Portia Mutevedzi, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Regression Discontinuity Designs in Epidemiology.” Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/ede.0000000000000138
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “In A Study Of A Population Cohort In South Africa, HIV Patients On Antiretrovirals Had Nearly Full Recovery Of Employment.” Health Affairs, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.2012.0407
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Matthew P. Fox, et al. “Treatment Eligibility and Retention in Clinical HIV Care: A Regression Discontinuity Study in South Africa.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002463
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Shahira Ahmed, et al. “Effect of Eliminating CD4-Count Thresholds on HIV Treatment Initiation in South Africa: An Empirical Modeling Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0178249
Jacob Bor, Till Bärnighausen, Sydney Rosen, et al. “Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001905
Jaffer Zaidi, Till Bärnighausen, Erofili Grapsa, Frank Tanser, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Dramatic Increase in HIV Prevalence after Scale-up of Antiretroviral Treatment.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e328362e832
Jan A. C. Hontelez, Mark N. Lurie, Sake J. de Vlas, et al. “The Impact of the New WHO Antiretroviral Treatment Guidelines on HIV Epidemic Dynamics and Cost in South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0021919
Jan A. C. Hontelez, Sake J. de Vlas, Mark N. Lurie, et al. “Elimination of HIV in South Africa through Expanded Access to Antiretroviral Therapy: A Model Comparison Study.” PLoS Medicine, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001534
Jan A. C. Hontelez, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, K. Naidu, and Deenan Pillay. “The Effect of Antiretroviral Treatment on Health Care Utilization in Rural South Africa: A Population-Based Cohort Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0158015
Jan A. C. Hontelez, Till Bärnighausen, Jacob Bor, Frank Tanser, Deenan Pillay, and Mosa Moshabela. “HIV Treatment Substantially Decreases Hospitalization Rates: Evidence From Rural South Africa.” Health Affairs, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.2017.0820
Jan A. C. Hontelez, Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Ruth Bland, Kristen Munnelly, and Richard Lessells. “Human Resources Needs for Universal Access to Antiretroviral Therapy in South Africa: A Time and Motion Study.” Human Resources for Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1186/1478-4491-10-39
Janet Michel, Marie‐Louise Newell, Mokgadi C. Matlakala, René English, and Richard Lessells. “Collective Patient Behaviours Derailing ART Roll-out in KwaZulu-Natal: Perspectives of Health Care Providers.” AIDS Research and Therapy, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/1742-6405-10-20
Jeffrey W. Eaton, Timothy B. Hallett, Leigh F. Johnson, et al. “HIV Treatment as Prevention: Systematic Comparison of Mathematical Models of the Potential Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy on HIV Incidence in South Africa.” PLoS Medicine, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001245
Joseph Larmarange, François Dabis, Mamadou Diallo, et al. “Temporal Trends of Population Viral Suppression in the Context of Universal Test and Treat: The ANRS 12249 TasP Trial in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25402
Joseph Larmarange, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Mamadou Diallo, et al. “The Impact of Population Dynamics on the Population HIV Care Cascade: Results from the ANRS 12249 Treatment as Prevention Trial in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal (South Africa).” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25128
Julie Ambia, Jenny Renju, Alison Wringe, et al. “From Policy to Practice: Exploring the Implementation of Antiretroviral Therapy Access and Retention Policies between 2013 and 2016 in Six Sub-Saharan African Countries.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-017-2678-1
Kalpana Sabapathy, Richard Hayes, Laura B. Balzer, et al. “Achieving the UNAIDS 90–90-90 Targets: A Comparative Analysis of Four Large Community Randomised Trials Delivering Universal Testing and Treatment to Reduce HIV Transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14713-5
Kathryn Church, Kazuyo Machiyama, Jim Todd, et al. “Identifying Gaps in HIV Service Delivery across the Diagnosis‐to‐treatment Cascade: Findings from Health Facility Surveys in Six sub‐Saharan Countries.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.7448/ias.20.1.21188
Kathy Baisley, Collins Iwuji, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, et al. “Early HIV Treatment and Survival over Six Years of Observation in the ANRS 12249 Treatment as Prevention Trial.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.13263
Krisda H. Chaiyachati, Till Bärnighausen, Lisa R. Hirschhorn, Frank Tanser, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Validating Five Questions of Antiretroviral Nonadherence in a Public-Sector Treatment Program in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Patient Care and STDs, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1089/apc.2010.0257
Lucia Knight, Ian M. Timæus, and Victoria Hosegood. “The South African Disability Grant: Influence on HIV Treatment Outcomes and Household Well-Being in KwaZulu-Natal.” Development Southern Africa, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835x.2013.755767
Marion Fiorentino, Sylvie Boyer, Marie Libérée Nishimwe, et al. “Early ART Initiation Improves HIV Status Disclosure and Social Support in People Living with HIV, Linked to Care Within a Universal Test and Treat Program in Rural South Africa (ANRS 12249 TasP Trial).” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-020-03101-y
Mark J. Siedner, Deenan Pillay, Kathy Baisley, et al. “Does Antiretroviral Therapy Use Affect the Accuracy of HIV Rapid Diagnostic Assays? Experience from a Demographic Health and Surveillance Site in Rural South Africa.” Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2020.115031
Mathieu Maheu‐Giroux, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, Marie‐Claude Boily, Deenan Pillay, and Serene A. Joseph. “Determinants of Time from HIV Infection to Linkage-to-Care in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000001435
Matthias Egger and Andrew Boulle. “Population Effect of Scaling up ART in Resource-Poor Settings.” The Lancet, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(08)60669-8
Mélanie Plazy, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, Delphine Perriat, et al. “Implementing Universal HIV Treatment in a High HIV Prevalence and Rural South African Setting – Field Experiences and Recommendations of Health Care Providers.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0186883
Mélanie Plazy, Marie‐Louise Newell, Rosemary Dray‐Spira, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, and François Dabis. “Continuum in HIV Care from Entry to ART Initiation in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.12301
Mélanie Plazy, Rosemary Dray‐Spira, François Dabis, K. Naidu, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, and Till Bärnighausen. “Change of Treatment Guidelines and Evolution of ART Initiation in Rural South Africa: Data of a Large HIV Care and Treatment Programme.” BMC Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-015-1207-2
Mélanie Plazy, Rosemary Dray‐Spira, Marie‐Louise Newell, Joanna Orne‐Gliemann, K. Naidu, and F Dabis. “Barriers to Antiretroviral Treatment Initiation in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12253
Mhairi Maskew, Matthew P. Fox, Jacob Bor, et al. “Imputing HIV Treatment Start Dates from Routine Laboratory Data in South Africa: A Validation Study.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-016-1940-2
Michael Evangeli, Nuala McGrath, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Factors Associated with Pre-ART Loss-to-Follow up in Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Prospective Cohort Study.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-3025-x
Michael Evangeli, Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Linda Richter. “The Association between Self-Reported Stigma and Loss-to-Follow Up in Treatment Eligible HIV Positive Adults in Rural Kwazulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0088235
Milly Marston, Basia Żaba, Jessica Nakiyingi‐Miiro, Victoria Hosegood, Tom Lutalo, and Baltazar Mtenga. “Measuring the Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy Roll-Out on Population Level Fertility in Three African Countries.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0151877
Natsayi Chimbindi, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Till Bärnighausen. “Almost Universal Coverage: HIV Testing among TB Patients in a Rural Public Programme [Correspondence].” The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtld.11.0754
Natsayi Chimbindi, Till Bärnighausen, Jacob Bor, et al. “Time and Money: The True Costs of Health Care Utilization for Patients Receiving ‘Free’ HIV/Tuberculosis Care and Treatment in Rural KwaZulu-Natal.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000000728
Noah Haber, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, et al. “From HIV Infection to Therapeutic Response: A Population-Based Longitudinal HIV Cascade-of-Care Study in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(16)30224-7
Nomsa Mahlalela, F. Xavier Gómez‐Olivé, Jennifer Manne‐Goehler, et al. “The Association Between HIV-Related Stigma and the Uptake of HIV Testing and ART Among Older Adults in Rural South Africa: Findings from the HAALSI Cohort Study.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-023-04222-w
Nsika Sithole, Mosa Moshabela, Busisiwe Nkosi, Janet Seeley, Ruanne V. Barnabas, and Mark J. Siedner. “‘I Didn’t Reveal My ART Status Because I Didn’t Have Money to Fetch the Transfer Letter’– Understanding Lack of Treatment Disclosure at Presentation to Care in South Africa: A Qualitative Study.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-024-04553-2
Nsika Sithole, Ruanne V. Barnabas, Resign Gunda, et al. “Undisclosed Antiretroviral Therapy Use at Primary Health Care Clinics in Rural KwaZulu Natal South Africa: A DO-ART Trial Sub-Study.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03319-4
Nuala McGrath and Erofili Grapsa. “Does Antiretroviral Therapy Change Partnership Dynamics and HIV Risk Behaviours among HIV-Infected Adults.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000001502
Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Linda Richter. “Design and Methods of a Longitudinal Study Investigating the Impact of Antiretroviral Treatment on the Partnerships and Sexual Behaviour of HIV-Infected Individuals in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-121
Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Linda Richter. “Sexual Risk after HIV Diagnosis: A Comparison of pre‐ART Individuals with CD4>500 Cells/Μl and ART‐eligible Individuals in a HIV Treatment and Care Programme in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.7448/ias.16.1.18048
Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Richard Lessells. “Time to Eligibility for Antiretroviral Therapy in Adults with CD4 Cell Count > 500 Cells/μL in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12255
Pascal Geldsetzer, Till Bärnighausen, Andrea B Feigl, Frank Tanser, Dickman Gareta, and Deenan Pillay. “Population‐level Decline in BMI and Systolic Blood Pressure Following Mass HIV Treatment: Evidence from Rural KwaZulu‐Natal.” Obesity, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.21663
Patience Nyakato, Morna Cornell, Michael Schomaker, et al. “Virologic Non‐suppression and Early Loss to Follow up among Pregnant and Non‐pregnant Adolescents Aged 15–19 Years Initiating Antiretroviral Therapy in South Africa: A Retrospective Cohort Study.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25870
Portia Mutevedzi and Marie‐Louise Newell. “The Changing Face of the HIV Epidemic in sub‐Saharan Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.12344
Portia Mutevedzi, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Richard Lessells. “Disengagement from Care in a Decentralised Primary Health Care Antiretroviral Treatment Programme: Cohort Study in Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.12135
Portia Mutevedzi, Marie‐Louise Newell, Richard Lessells, and Alison Rodger. “Association of Age with Mortality and Virological and Immunological Response to Antiretroviral Therapy in Rural South African Adults.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0021795
Portia Mutevedzi, Marie‐Louise Newell, Richard Lessells, Tom Heller, Till Bärnighausen, and Graham Cooke. “Scale-up of a Decentralized HIV Treatment Programme in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Does Rapid Expansion Affect Patient Outcomes?” Bulletin of the World Health Organization, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.2471/blt.09.069419
Reuben Granich, Gottfried Hirnschall, Somya Gupta, et al. “Antiretroviral Therapy in Prevention of HIV and TB: Update on Current Research Efforts.” Current HIV Research, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.2174/157016211798038597
Richard Lessells, Marie‐Louise Newell, Portia Mutevedzi, and Collins Iwuji. “Reduction in Early Mortality on Antiretroviral Therapy for Adults in Rural South Africa Since Change in CD4+ Cell Count Eligibility Criteria.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0b013e31829ceb14
Richard Lessells, Marie‐Louise Newell, Portia Mutevedzi, and Graham Cooke. “Retention in HIV Care for Individuals Not Yet Eligible for Antiretroviral Therapy: Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0b013e3182075ae2
Richard Lessells, Marie‐Louise Newell, Portia Mutevedzi, and Tom Heller. “Poor Long-Term Outcomes for Cryptococcal Meningitis in Rural South Africa.” South African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.4378
Ruanne V. Barnabas, Connie Celum, Adam A. Szpiro, et al. “Community-Based Antiretroviral Therapy versus Standard Clinic-Based Services for HIV in South Africa and Uganda (DO ART): A Randomised Trial.” The Lancet Global Health, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30313-2
Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, and James Ndirangu. “Maximising Opportunities for Increased Antiretroviral Treatment in Children in an Existing HIV Programme in Rural South Africa.” BMJ, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.f550
Sheryl A. Kluberg, Jacob Bor, Matthew P. Fox, Michael P. LaValley, Deenan Pillay, and Till Bärnighausen. “Do HIV Treatment Eligibility Expansions Crowd out the Sickest? Evidence from Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13122
Sian Floyd, Basia Żaba, Milly Marston, et al. “The Effect of Antiretroviral Therapy Provision on All‐cause, AIDS and non‐AIDS Mortality at the Population Level – a Comparative Analysis of Data from Four Settings in Southern and East Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2012.03032.x
Thembelihle Zuma, Mosa Moshabela, Daniel Wight, and Tamsen Rochat. “Navigating Multiple Sources of Healing in the Context of HIV/AIDS and Wide Availability of Antiretroviral Treatment: A Qualitative Study of Community Participants’ Perceptions and Experiences in Rural South Africa.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2018.00073
Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Frank Tanser, Abraham Malaza, and Kobus Herbst. “HIV Status and Participation in HIV Surveillance in the Era of Antiretroviral Treatment: A Study of Linked Population‐based and Clinical Data in Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2012.02928.x
Till Bärnighausen, Salal Humair, and David E. Bloom. “Human Resources for Treating HIV/AIDS: Are the Preventive Effects of Antiretroviral Treatment a Game Changer?” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0163960
Tran Doan, Neil K. Mehta, and Woosub Shin. “To What Extent Were Life Expectancy Gains in South Africa Attributable to Declines in HIV/AIDS Mortality from 2006 to 2017? A Life Table Analysis of Age-Specific Mortality.” Demographic Research, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2022.46.18
Yoshan Moodley. “The Impact of an Unknown HIV Serostatus on Inpatient Mortality.” Pan African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.11604/pamj.2017.28.285.11860
Yoshan Moodley and Andrew Tomita. “Relationship between HIV Serostatus, CD4 Count and Rehospitalisation: Potential Implications for Health Systems Strengthening in South Africa.” Southern African Journal of Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.4102/sajid.v32i1.66
Cluster 4 Publications
Abraham J Herbst, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Tshepiso Mafojane. “Verbal Autopsy-Based Cause-Specific Mortality Trends in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 2000-2009.” Population Health Metrics, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1186/1478-7954-9-47
Ailiana Santosa and Peter Byass. “Diverse Empirical Evidence on Epidemiological Transition in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Population-Based Findings from INDEPTH Network Data.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0155753
Alan Stein. “Babies of a Pandemic.” Archives of Disease in Childhood, ahead of print, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1136/adc.2004.049361
Amy McIntosh, Kobus Herbst, Max Bachmann, Mark J. Siedner, Dickman Gareta, and Janet Seeley. “Effect of COVID-19 Lockdown on Hospital Admissions and Mortality in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Interrupted Time Series Analysis.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047961
Analía Olgiati, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Till Bärnighausen. “Do Self‐assessments of Health Predict Future Mortality in Rural South Africa? The Case of KwaZulu‐Natal in the Era of Antiretroviral Treatment.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2012.03012.x
Anupam Garrib, Marie‐Louise Newell, Abraham J Herbst, and Victoria Hosegood. “Injury Mortality in Rural South Africa 2000 - 2007: Rates and Associated Factors*.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2011.02730.x
Anupam Garrib, Michael L. Bennish, Shabbar Jaffar, Stephen Knight, and Debbie Bradshaw. “Rates and Causes of Child Mortality in an Area of High HIV Prevalence in Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2006.01738.x
Boikhutso Tlou. “Underlying Determinants of Maternal Mortality in a Rural South African Population with High HIV Prevalence (2000–2014): A Population-Based Cohort Analysis.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0203830
Boikhutso Tlou, Frank Tanser, and Benn Sartorius. “Effect of Timing of Mother’s Death on Child Survival in a Rural HIV Hyper-Endemic South African Population.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-018-6152-8
Boikhutso Tlou, Frank Tanser, and Benn Sartorius. “Investigating Risk Factors for Under-Five Mortality in an HIV Hyper-Endemic Area of Rural South Africa, from 2000-2014.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207294
Boikhutso Tlou, Frank Tanser, and Benn Sartorius. “Space-Time Patterns in Maternal and Mother Mortality in a Rural South African Population with High HIV Prevalence (2000–2014): Results from a Population-Based Cohort.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-017-4463-9
Boikhutso Tlou, Frank Tanser, and Benn Sartorius. “Space-Time Variations in Child Mortality in a Rural South African Population with High HIV Prevalence (2000–2014).” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0182478
Boikhutso Tlou, Frank Tanser, and Benn Sartorius. “Spatial-Temporal Dynamics and Structural Determinants of Child and Maternal Mortality in a Rural, High HIV Burdened South African Population, 2000–2014: A Study Protocol.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010013
Brian Houle, Samuel J. Clark, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, Alan Stein, Dickman Gareta, and Kobus Herbst. “Linking the Timing of a Mother’s and Child’s Death: Comparative Evidence from Two Rural South African Population-Based Surveillance Studies, 2000–2015.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246671
Brian Houle, Samuel J. Clark, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, Dickman Gareta, and Kobus Herbst. “Household Structure, Composition and Child Mortality in the Unfolding Antiretroviral Therapy Era in Rural South Africa: Comparative Evidence from Population Surveillance, 2000–2015.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-070388
Brian Houle, Vladimir Canudas‐Romo, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, et al. “Mortality Variability and Differentials by Age and Causes of Death in Rural South Africa, 1994–2018.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2023-013539
Cally Ardington, Alicia Menendez, Till Bärnighausen, and Anne Case. “The Economic Consequences of AIDS Mortality in South Africa.” Journal of Development Economics, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.08.001
Carren Ginsburg, Mark Collinson, Philippe Bocquier, et al. “Association between Internal Migration and Epidemic Dynamics: An Analysis of Cause-Specific Mortality in Kenya and South Africa Using Health and Demographic Surveillance Data.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-018-5851-5
Charlotte Wright, Frederick K. Ho, Fanny Petermann‐Rocha, Ruth Bland, Per Ashorn, and Shakila Zaman. “Weight Velocity in Addition to Latest Weight Does Not Improve the Identification of Wasting or the Prediction of Stunting and Mortality: A Longitudinal Analysis Using Data from Malawi, South Africa, and Pakistan.” The Journal of Nutrition, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2024.06.011
Charlotte Wright, Frederick K. Ho, J Macpherson, Ruth Bland, Per Ashorn, and Shakila Zaman. “Wasting and Stunting in Infants and Young Children as Risk Factors for Subsequent Stunting or Mortality: Longitudinal Analysis of Data from Malawi, South Africa, and Pakistan.” The Journal of Nutrition, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/nxab054
Clara Calvert, Georges Reniers, Milly Marston, et al. “Direct Maternal Deaths Attributable to HIV in the Era of Antiretroviral Therapy: Evidence from Three Population-Based HIV Cohorts with Verbal Autopsy.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002552
Debbie Bradshaw, Rob Dorrington, Nadine Nannan, Victoria Pillay‐van Wyk, Ria Laubscher, and Pam Groenewald. “Burden of Disease in South Africa: Protracted Transitions Driven by Social Pathologies.” South African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.2019.v109i11b.14273
Dorean Nabukalu, Marie‐Louise Newell, Kerstin Klipstein‐Grobusch, and Kobus Herbst. “Mortality in Women of Reproductive Age in Rural South Africa.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v6i0.22834
Elena Morrocchi, Cissy Kityo, Giuseppe Rubens Pascucci, et al. “Early Inflammation as a Footprint of Increased Mortality Risk in Infants Living with HIV from Three African Countries.” Scientific Reports, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74066-4
Gabriela Mejia-Pailles, Victoria Hosegood, Ann Berrington, and Nuala McGrath. “Trends in the Prevalence and Incidence of Orphanhood in Children and Adolescents <20 Years in Rural KwaZulu-Natal South Africa, 2000-2014.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238563
George W. Cobb and Ruth Bland. “Nutritional Supplementation: The Additional Costs of Managing Children Infected with HIV in Resource‐constrained Settings.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.12006
Graham Cooke, Marie‐Louise Newell, Kirsty Little, Ruth Bland, and Hilary Thulare. “Need for Timely Paediatric HIV Treatment within Primary Health Care in Rural South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0007101
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, and Adrian Dobra. “Migration and First-Year Maternal Mortality among HIV-Positive Postpartum Women: A Population-Based Longitudinal Study in Rural South Africa.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003085
James Ndirangu, Marie‐Louise Newell, Ruth Bland, and Till Bärnighausen. “Validating Child Vaccination Status in a Demographic Surveillance System Using Data from a Clinical Cohort Study: Evidence from Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-372
James Ndirangu, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, and Khin San Tint. “Levels of Childhood Vaccination Coverage and the Impact of Maternal HIV Status on Child Vaccination Status in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa*.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2009.02382.x
James Ndirangu, Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Claire Thorne. “Treating HIV-Infected Mothers Reduces under 5 Years of Age Mortality Rates to Levels Seen in Children of HIV-Uninfected Mothers in Rural South Africa.” Antiviral Therapy, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.3851/imp1991
James Ndirangu, Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, Frank Tanser, and Abraham J Herbst. “Decline in Early Life Mortality in a High HIV Prevalence Rural Area of South Africa: Evidence of HIV Prevention or Treatment Impact?” AIDS, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e328335cff5
Jané Joubert, Alan D López, Chalapati Rao, Debbie Bradshaw, Rob Dorrington, and Theo Vos. “Characteristics, Availability and Uses of Vital Registration and Other Mortality Data Sources in Post-Democracy South Africa.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v5i0.19263
Jan‐Walter De Neve and Guy Harling. “Offspring Schooling Associated with Increased Parental Survival in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2017.01.015
Jessica Price, Anthony Harnden, Merlin Willcox, et al. “Care Pathways during a Child’s Final Illness in Rural South Africa: Findings from a Social Autopsy Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0224284
Jessica Price, Anthony Harnden, Merlin Willcox, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, Kobus Herbst, and Kathleen Kahn. “Home Deaths of Children under 5 Years in Rural South Africa: A Population‐based Longitudinal Study.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13239
Jessica Price, Lisa Hinton, Merlin Willcox, et al. “Care-Seeking during Fatal Childhood Illness in Rural South Africa: A Qualitative Study.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043652
Jill Mitchell, Ruth Bland, Tamsen Rochat, Brian Houle, Alan Stein, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “The Effect of Maternal and Child Early Life Factors on Grade Repetition among HIV Exposed and Unexposed Children in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1017/s2040174415007230
Kathleen Ford and Victoria Hosegood. “Aids Mortality and the Mobility of Children in Kwazulu Natal, South Africa.” Demography, ahead of print, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2005.0029
Kirsty Little, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Ruth Bland. “Vertically Acquired Paediatric HIV Infection: The Challenges of Providing Comprehensive Packages of Care in Resource‐limited Settings.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3156.2008.02130.x
Makandwe Nyirenda, Marie‐Louise Newell, Victoria Hosegood, and Till Bärnighausen. “Mortality Levels and Trends by HIV Serostatus in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.aids.0000299413.82893.2b
Milly Marston. “Demographic Determinants of Paediatric HIV in Generalised HIV Epidemics.” Nan, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.17037/pubs.04649895
Molly Rosenberg, Kathleen Kahn, Audrey Pettifor, et al. “Relationship between Receipt of a Social Protection Grant for a Child and Second Pregnancy Rates among South African Women: A Cohort Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137352
Nadine Nannan, Rob Dorrington, Debbie Bradshaw, Ria Laubscher, and Kobus Herbst. “Reversal in Childhood Mortality Trend in ruralKwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” African Population Studies, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.11564/25-1-261
NC Rollins, ML Bennish, Jan Van den Broeck, Gurpreet Kindra, M Pent, and Tafadzwa Kasambira. “The Effect of Nutritional Support on Weight Gain of HIV‐infected Children with Prolonged Diarrhoea.” Acta Paediatrica, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1651-2227.2006.00013.x
Nontobeko Mpontshane, Michael L. Bennish, Jan Van den Broeck, Meera Chhagan, Kany Kany Angelique Luabeya, and Ayesha Johnson. “HIV Infection Is Associated with Decreased Dietary Diversity in South African Children.” The Journal of Nutrition, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/138.9.1705
Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Ruth Bland, and Tamsen Rochat. “The Amagugu Intervention: A Qualitative Investigation into Maternal Experiences and Perspectives of a Maternal HIV Disclosure Support Intervention in Rural South Africa.” Health Policy and Planning, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czx056
Rachel Bennett, Nuala McGrath, Victoria Hosegood, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “An Approach to Measuring Dispersed Families with a Particular Focus on Children ‘Left Behind’ by Migrant Parents: Findings from Rural South Africa.” Population, Space and Place, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.1843
Rachel Bennett, Nuala McGrath, Victoria Hosegood, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Understanding Family Migration in Rural South Africa: Exploring Children’s Inclusion in the Destination Households of Migrant Parents.” Population, Space and Place, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.1842
Ruth Bland. “Management of HIV-Infected Children in Africa: Progress and Challenges.” Archives of Disease in Childhood, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1136/adc.2010.193789
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Adriane Xavier Arteche, Alan Stein, and Joanie Mitchell. “Maternal and Child Psychological Outcomes of HIV Disclosure to Young Children in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000000668
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Adriane Xavier Arteche, Alan Stein, and Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi. “Maternal HIV Disclosure to Young HIV-Uninfected Children.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000000333
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, Alan Stein, and Joanie Mitchell. “Maternal Alcohol Use and Children’s Emotional and Cognitive Outcomes in Rural South Africa.” South African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.2019.v109i7.13120
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, Alan Stein, and Rebecca M. Pearson. “Prevalence and Risk Factors for Child Mental Disorders in a Population-Based Cohort of HIV-Exposed and Unexposed African Children Aged 7–11 Years.” European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-018-1146-8
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, Alan Stein, Rebecca M. Pearson, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Cohort Profile: The Siyakhula Cohort, Rural South Africa.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyx148
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Joanie Mitchell, Anina M. Lubbe, Alan Stein, and Mark Tomlinson. “Communication about HIV and Death: Maternal Reports of Primary School-Aged Children’s Questions after Maternal HIV Disclosure in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2016.10.031
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, and Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi. “Maternal HIV Disclosure to HIV-Uninfected Children in Rural South Africa: A Pilot Study of a Family-Based Intervention.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-13-147
Taygen Edwards, Tamsen Rochat, Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Joanie Mitchell, and Ruth Bland. “Empowering Parents for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevention: Health and Sex Education at Home.” Southern African Journal of HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.4102/sajhivmed.v21i1.970
Tobenna D. Anekwé, Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Frank Tanser, and Deenan Pillay. “The Causal Effect of Childhood Measles Vaccination on Educational Attainment: A Mother Fixed-Effects Study in Rural South Africa.” Vaccine, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.04.072
Ursula Gazeley, Véronique Filippi, Georges Reniers, et al. “Pregnancy‐related Mortality up to 1 Year Postpartum in sub‐Saharan Africa: An Analysis of Verbal Autopsy Data from Six Countries.” BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.17606
Victoria Hosegood, Basia Żaba, Sian Floyd, et al. “The Effects of High HIV Prevalence on Orphanhood and Living Arrangements of Children in Malawi, Tanzania, and South Africa.” Population Studies, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720701524292
Victoria Hosegood, Ian M. Timæus, and A. Vanneste. “Levels and Causes of Adult Mortality in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1097/00002030-200403050-00011
Victoria Hosegood, Ian M. Timæus, Eleanor Preston‐Whyte, Joanna Busza, and Sindile Moitse. “Revealing the Full Extent of Households’ Experiences of HIV and AIDS in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2007.05.002
Victoria Hosegood, Ian M. Timæus, Nuala McGrath, and Kobus Herbst. “The Impact of Adult Mortality on Household Dissolution and Migration in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.aids.0000131360.37210.92
Yue Chu, Samuel J. Clark, Milly Marston, et al. “Temporal Changes in Cause of Death among Adolescents and Adults in Six Countries in Eastern and Southern Africa in 1995–2019: A Multi-Country Surveillance Study of Verbal Autopsy Data.” The Lancet Global Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(24)00171-2
Cluster 5 Publications
Acadia Thielking, Krishna P. Reddy, Yiqi Qian, et al. “Changes in Tobacco Use in Rural South Africa during the 2020 Tobacco Sales Ban: An Analysis of Current and Previous Behaviours Using Cross-Sectional Data.” Tobacco Control, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1136/tc-2025-059357
Adeagbo Oluwafemi, Janet Seeley, Sibongiseni Xulu, et al. “Transcription as a Key Phase of Data Analysis in Qualitative Research: Experience from KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Field Methods, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/1525822x21989482
Adwoa Serwaa-Bonsu, Osman Sankoh, AbrahamJ. Herbst, et al. “First Experiences in the Implementation of Biometric Technology to Link Data from Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems with Health Facility Data.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v3i0.2120
Alessandra Garbero. “Incorporating Uncertainty in Poverty Dynamics: How Can We Assess the Economic Impact of Aids Mortality in the Presence of Measurement Error and Missing Data? Aids Mortality in the Presence of Measurement Error and Missing Data?” SSRN Electronic Journal, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3305866
Alex Hinga, Sassy Molyneux, Vicki Marsh, Amek Nyaguara, and Marylene Wamukoya. “The Ethical Implications of Verbal Autopsy: Responding to Emotional and Moral Distress.” BMC Medical Ethics, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12910-021-00683-7
Alex Hinga, Vicki Marsh, and Sassy Molyneux. “Towards an Appropriate Ethics Framework for Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems (HDSS): Learning from Issues Faced in Diverse HDSS in Sub-Saharan Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004008
Alfred Keter, Bart K. M. Jacobs, Lutgarde Lynen, et al. “Evaluation of Tuberculosis Diagnostic Test Accuracy Using Bayesian Latent Class Analysis in the Presence of Conditional Dependence between the Diagnostic Tests Used in a Community-Based Tuberculosis Screening Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0282417
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Gugu Shazi, et al. “A Roadmap for Navigating Partner Engagement in Community-Based Autopsy Studies: Lessons from the Field in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Nan, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.11.14.24317019
Andrew Gibbs, Maryam Shahmanesh, Dumsani Gumede, et al. “Opportunities for Technologically Driven Dialogical Health Communication for Participatory Interventions: Perspectives from Male Peer Navigators in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.114539
Andrew K. May, Michèle Ramsay, Heather Seymour, et al. “Coronavirus Host Genomics Study: South Africa (COVIGen-SA).” Global Health, Epidemiology and Genomics, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/7405349
Andrew Tomita and Yoshan Moodley. “The Revolving Door of Mental, Neurological, and Substance Use Disorders Re-Hospitalization in Rural KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.” African Health Sciences, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.4314/ahs.v16i3.23
Anna Reuter. “Essays on Health and Development: Evidence from Indonesia and South Africa.” In Nan. 2022. https://doi.org/10.53846/goediss-9497
Anne Case, Analía Olgiati, Anupam Garrib, and Alicia Menendez. “Paying the Piper: The High Cost of Funerals in South Africa.” Economic Development and Cultural Change, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1086/671712
Anya Zeitlin, Ann Blandford, Thulile Mathenjwa, et al. “Creating a Usable and Effective Digital Intervention to Support Men to Test for HIV and Link to Care in a Resource-Constrained Setting: Iterative Design Based on a Person-Based Approach and Human Computer Interaction Methods (Preprint).” JMIR Formative Research, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.2196/65185
Anya Zeitlin, Ann Blandford, Thulile Mathenjwa, et al. “Taking a Human Computer Interaction Lens to Person-Based Design of an Interactive Digital Intervention to Support Men to Test for HIV and Link to Care in a Resource-Constrained Setting: A Case Study (Preprint).” Nan, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.2196/preprints.65185
Aoife M. Doyle, Janet Seeley, Lerato Mchunu, et al. “Primary Healthcare and School Health Service Utilisation by Adolescents and Young Adults in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-019-4559-2
Aoife M. Doyle, Sarah Bernays, Chido Dziva Chikwari, et al. “Adolescent Health Series: Engagement with Young People as Partners in Health Research: Four Case Studies from Sub‐Saharan Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13702
Arminder Deol, Nicky McCreesh, Danny Scarponi, et al. “Estimating Ventilation Rates in Rooms with Varying Occupancy Levels: Relevance for Reducing Transmission Risk of Airborne Pathogens.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253096
Astrid Treffry-Goatley, Bernhard Gaede, Richard Lessells, Relebohile Moletsane, and Túlio de Oliveira. “Community Engagement with HIV Drug Adherence in Rural South Africa: A Transdisciplinary Approach.” Medical Humanities, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1136/medhum-2018-011474
Astrid Treffry-Goatley, Richard Lessells, Relebohile Moletsane, Túlio de Oliveira, and Janet Seeley. “Using the Emanuel Framework to Explore the Ethical Issues Raised in a Participatory Visual Research Project in Rural South Africa.” Journal of Empirical Research on Human Research Ethics, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/1556264620987034
Bongiwe Ndlovu, William H. Carr, Siva Danaviah, et al. “Use of Dried Blood Spots for the Determination of Genetic Variation of Interleukin‐10, Killer Immunoglobulin‐like Receptor and HLA Class I Genes.” Tissue Antigens, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1399-0039.2011.01807.x
Bronwynè Coetzee, Ruth Bland, and Ashraf Kagee. “Barriers and Facilitators to Paediatric Adherence to Antiretroviral Therapy in Rural South Africa: A Multi-Stakeholder Perspective.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2014.967658
Busangani Ngwenya, Anita Edwards, Motswedi Anderson, et al. “Community Dialogue to Enhance Understanding of Beliefs, Behaviours and Barriers to Care for People Living with Liver Disease and HBV Infection in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa.” Journal of Virus Eradication, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jve.2024.100378
Busisiwe Nkosi, Ann Strode, Brian C. Zanoni, and Janet Seeley. “The Ethical‐legal Requirements for Adolescent Self‐consent to Research in sub‐Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review.” Bioethics, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1111/bioe.12988
Busisiwe Nkosi, Aoife M. Doyle, Janet Seeley, et al. “Exploring Adolescents and Young People’s Candidacy for Utilising Health Services in a Rural District, South Africa.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-019-3960-1
Busisiwe Nkosi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, Natsayi Chimbindi, Thembelihle Zuma, and Maureen Kelley. “Managing Ancillary Care in Resource-Constrained Settings: Dilemmas Faced by Frontline HIV Prevention Researchers in a Rural Area in South Africa.” International Health, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1093/inthealth/ihaa045
Busisiwe Nkosi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, Natsayi Chimbindi, Thembelihle Zuma, and Maureen Kelley. “Putting Research Ethics in Context: Rethinking Vulnerability and Agency within a Research Ethics Case Study on HIV Prevention for Young Girls in South Africa.” SSM - Qualitative Research in Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmqr.2022.100081
Catherine M. Montgomery, Ian M. Timæus, Victoria Hosegood, and Joanna Busza. “Men’s Involvement in the South African Family: Engendering Change in the AIDS Era.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2005.10.026
Catherine M. Smith, Frank Tanser, Richard Lessells, Alison D. Grant, and Kobus Herbst. “Spatial Clustering of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis in Hlabisa Subdistrict, KwaZulu-Natal, 2011–2015.” The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtld.17.0457
Chris Desmond, Tony Barnett, Janet Seeley, Candice Groenewald, Nothando Ngwenya, and Kate Rich. “Interpreting Social Determinants: Emergent Properties and Adolescent Risk Behaviour.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226241
Christopher S. Wood, Molly M. Stevens, Michael R. Thomas, et al. “Taking Connected Mobile-Health Diagnostics of Infectious Diseases to the Field.” Nature, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0956-2
Collins Iwuji, Kristie L. Ebi, Celia McMichael, Euphemia Sibanda, Kingsley Orievulu, and Kelly F. Austin. “Extreme Weather Events and Disruptions to HIV Services: A Systematic Review.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(24)00186-3
Daniel DeSanto, Candice M. Chetty-Makkan, Kavindhran Velen, et al. “A Qualitative Exploration into the Presence of TB Stigmatization across Three Districts in South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-15407-2
David Concannon, Ed Manley, and Kobus Herbst. “Developing a Data Dashboard Framework for Population Health Surveillance: Widening Access to Clinical Trial Findings.” JMIR Formative Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2196/11342
Dickman Gareta, Jacob Bor, Dorina Onoya, and Kobus Herbst. “Piloting and Validating the Linkage of Routine ART and Laboratory Records in an HIV Endemic Setting.” International Journal of Population Data Science, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.23889/ijpds.v7i3.2004
Dickman Gareta, Jacob Bor, Evelyn Lauren, Khumbo Shumba, Kobus Herbst, and Dorina Onoya. “Developing an Integrated HIV Clinical and Population Database in Rural South Africa.” International Journal of Population Data Science, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.23889/ijpds.v9i5.2830
Dickman Gareta, Kobus Herbst, Kathy Baisley, et al. “Cohort Profile Update: Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS) and Population-Based HIV Survey.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa264
Diego F. Cuadros, Frank Tanser, Andrew Tomita, Alain Vandormael, Rob Slotow, and Jonathan K. Burns. “Spatial Structure of Depression in South Africa: A Longitudinal Panel Survey of a Nationally Representative Sample of Households.” Scientific Reports, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-37791-1
Dumile Gumede, Janet Seeley, Anna Meyer-Weitz, and Anita Edwards. “Understanding Older Peoples’ Chronic Disease Self-Management Practices and Challenges in the Context of Grandchildren Caregiving: A Qualitative Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000895
Dumile Gumede, Janet Seeley, Nothando Ngwenya, Stella Namukwaya, and Sarah Bernays. “A Reflection on Ethical and Methodological Challenges of Using Separate Interviews with Adolescent-Older Carer Dyads in Rural South Africa.” BMC Medical Ethics, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12910-019-0383-9
Elizabeth Chappell, Ali Judd, Claire Thorne, et al. “It Ain’t What You Do, It’s the Way That You Do It: The Pitfalls of Using Routine Data to Measure Early Infant HIV Diagnosis in HIV-Exposed Infants.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257496
Eva Craig, John J. Reilly, and Ruth Bland. “Objectively Measured Physical Activity Levels of Children and Adolescents in Rural South Africa: High Volume of Physical Activity at Low Intensity.” Applied Physiology, Nutrition, and Metabolism, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1139/apnm-2012-0115
Eva Craig, Ruth Bland, and John J. Reilly. “Body Fatness or Anthropometry for Assessment of Unhealthy Weight Status? Comparison between Methods in South African Children and Adolescents.” Public Health Nutrition, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1368980012004338
Fiammetta Bozzani, Anna Vassall, Karin Diaconu, et al. “Using System Dynamics Modelling to Estimate the Costs of Relaxing Health System Constraints: A Case Study of Tuberculosis Prevention and Control Interventions in South Africa.” Health Policy and Planning, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czab155
Frank Tanser. “Methodology for Optimising Location of New Primary Health Care Facilities in Rural Communities: A Case Study in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1136/jech.2005.043265
Frank Tanser. “The Application of GIS Technology to Equitably Distribute Fieldworker Workload in a Large, Rural South African Health Survey.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3156.2002.00825.x
Frank Tanser, Christopher C. Appleton, Daniel Azongo, Alain Vandormael, and Till Bärnighausen. “Impact of the Scale-up of Piped Water on Urogenital Schistosomiasis Infection in Rural South Africa.” eLife, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.7554/elife.33065
Frank Tanser, Kobus Herbst, and Brice Gijsbertsen. “Modelling and Understanding Primary Health Care Accessibility and Utilization in Rural South Africa: An Exploration Using a Geographical Information System.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2006.01.015
Frank Tanser, Peter M. Atkinson, and Peter W. Gething. “Location‐allocation Planning.” A Companion to Health and Medical Geography, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781444314762.ch28
Frank Tanser, Victoria Hosegood, Till Bärnighausen,  Kobus Herbst, Makandwe Nyirenda,  William Muhwava,  Colin Newell,  Johannes Viljoen, Tinofa Mutevedzi,  Marie-Louise Newell. “Cohort Profile: Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS) and Population-Based HIV Survey.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dym211
Gimenne Zwama, Karina Kielmann, Karin Diaconu, Anna Voce, Fiona O’May, and Alison D. Grant. “Health System Influences on the Implementation of Tuberculosis Infection Prevention and Control at Health Facilities in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries: A Scoping Review.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004735
Gina Kruse, Emily Wong, Thando Zulu, et al. “The Ethics of Conducting Observational Tobacco Research without Providing Treatment to People Who Use Tobacco: A Case Example from South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009732
Guy Harling, Abraham J Herbst, Dumile Gumede, et al. “The Impact of Self-Interviews on Response Patterns for Sensitive Topics: A Randomized Trial of Electronic Delivery Methods for a Sexual Behaviour Questionnaire in Rural South Africa.” BMC Medical Research Methodology, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-017-0403-8
Guy Harling, Kobus Herbst, F. Xavier Gómez‐Olivé, et al. “Protective Behaviors and Secondary Harms Resulting From Nonpharmaceutical Interventions During the COVID-19 Epidemic in South Africa: Multisite, Prospective Longitudinal Study.” JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.2196/26073
Indira Govender, Alison D. Grant, Aaron S Karat, et al. “Prevalence of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis in Sputum and Reported Symptoms Among Clinic Attendees Compared With a Community Survey in Rural South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab970
Inge Petersen, AJ Flisher, Crick Lund, and Arvin Bhana. “A Task Shifting Approach to Primary Mental Health Care for Adults in South Africa: Human Resource Requirements and Costs for Rural Settings.” Health Policy and Planning, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czr012
Inge Petersen, Alan J. Flisher, Arvin Bhana, et al. “Planning for District Mental Health Services in South Africa: A Situational Analysis of a Rural District Site.” Health Policy and Planning, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czn049
Inge Petersen, Arvin Bhana, and Kim Baillie. “Understanding the Benefits and Challenges of Community Engagement in the Development of Community Mental Health Services for Common Mental Disorders: Lessons from a Case Study in a Rural South African Subdistrict Site.” Transcultural Psychiatry, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1177/1363461512448375
Inge Petersen, Kim Baillie, and Arvin Bhana. “The Feasibility of Adapted Group-Based Interpersonal Therapy (IPT) for the Treatment of Depression by Community Health Workers Within the Context of Task Shifting in South Africa.” Community Mental Health Journal, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10597-011-9429-2
Inge Petersen, Kim Baillie, Joshua Ssebunnya, and Arvin Bhana. “Lessons from Case Studies of Integrating Mental Health into Primary Health Care in South Africa and Uganda.” International Journal of Mental Health Systems, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1186/1752-4458-5-8
Jacqueline Nomaswazi. Gwala-Ngozo, Colleen Aldous, and Myra Taylor. “Understanding the Experiences of Doctors Who Undertake Elective Surgery on HIV/AIDS Patients in an Area of High Incidence in South Africa.” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2010.484536
Jan Van den Broeck, Michael L. Bennish, Melanie Mackay, Nontobeko Mpontshane, Angelique Kany Kany Luabeya, and Meera Chhagan. “Maintaining Data Integrity in a Rural Clinical Trial.” Clinical Trials, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1177/1740774507084106
Jana Fehr, Zizile E.L. Sikhosana, Stefan Konigorski, et al. “Computer-Aided Interpretation of Chest Radiography Reveals the Spectrum of Tuberculosis in Rural South Africa.” Npj Digital Medicine, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-021-00471-y
Joanie Mitchell, Tamsen Rochat, Mark Tomlinson, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, and Alan Stein. “Confirmatory Factor Analysis of the Kaufman Assessment Battery in a Sample of Primary School-Aged Children in Rural South Africa.” South African Journal of Psychology, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1177/0081246317741822
Karin Diaconu, Karina Kielmann, Aaron S Karat, et al. “Qualitative System Dynamics Modelling to Support the Design and Implementation of Tuberculosis Infection Prevention and Control Measures in South African Primary Health Care Facilities.” Health Policy and Planning, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czae084
Kate E LeGrand, Nicky McCreesh, Anita Edwards, et al. “Within-Country Heterogeneity in Patterns of Social Contact Relevant for Tuberculosis Infection Transmission, Prevention, and Care.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0004257
Kingsley Orievulu and Collins Iwuji. “Institutional Responses to Drought in a High HIV Prevalence Setting in Rural South Africa.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19010434
Kingsley Orievulu, Collins Iwuji, and Matylda Buczkowska. “Does Climate Change Threaten Delivery of HIV Care in Resource-Limited Settings?” Current Opinion in Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1097/qco.0000000000001079
Kingsley Orievulu, Collins Iwuji, Sonja Ayeb‐Karlsson, et al. “Economic, Social and Demographic Impacts of Drought on Treatment Adherence among People Living with HIV in Rural South Africa: A Qualitative Analysis.” Climate Risk Management, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100423
Kingsley Orievulu, Janet Seeley, Sally Frampton, et al. “Infecting Minds: Socio-Contextual Drivers of Vaccine Perceptions and Attitudes among Young and Older Adults Living in Urban and Rural Areas in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22181-w
Kobus Herbst, Till Bärnighausen, Matthew Law, Pascal Geldsetzer, Frank Tanser, and Guy Harling. “Innovations in Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems to Establish the Causal Impacts of HIV Policies.” Current Opinion in HIV and AIDS, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1097/coh.0000000000000203
L Reynolds. “Category and Kin in ‘Crisis’: Representations of Kinship, Care, and Vulnerability in Demographic and Ethnographic Research in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Studies in Comparative International Development, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12116-015-9200-8
L Reynolds. “‘Making Known’ or ‘Counting Our Children’? Constructing and Caring for Children in Epidemic South Africa.” Medicine Anthropology Theory, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.17157/mat.1.1.202
L Reynolds, John Imrie, Thomas Cousins, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “The Social Dynamics of Consent and Refusal in HIV Surveillance in Rural South Africa.” Social Science & Medicine, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2012.11.015
Linda Govender, Nigel Rollins, Tamsen Rochat, and Linda Richter. “Pediatric Nursing in the Context of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic in Resource-Poor Settings—Balancing the ‘Art and the Science.’” Holistic Nursing Practice, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1097/00004650-200609000-00008
Lucia D’Ambruoso, Kathleen Kahn, Jessica Price, et al. “Refining Circumstances of Mortality Categories (COMCAT): A Verbal Autopsy Model Connecting Circumstances of Deaths with Outcomes for Public Health Decision-Making.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/16549716.2021.2000091
Lucia Knight, Ian M. Timæus, and Victoria Hosegood. “Obligation to Family during Times of Transition: Care, Support and the Response to HIV and AIDS in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2016.1195486
Makandwe Nyirenda, Marie‐Louise Newell, Maria Evandrou, Portia Mutevedzi, Victoria Hosegood, and Jane Falkingham. “Who Cares? Implications of Care-Giving and -Receiving by HIV-Infected or -Affected Older People on Functional Disability and Emotional Wellbeing.” Ageing and Society, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0144686x13000615
Manono Luthuli, Janet Seeley, Nothando Ngwenya, et al. “Participant Recall and Understandings of Information on Biobanking and Future Genomic Research: Experiences from a Multi-Disease Community-Based Health Screening and Biobank Platform in Rural South Africa.” BMC Medical Ethics, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12910-022-00782-z
Maphe Mthembu, Emily Wong, Kathryn Bowman, et al. “Discrepancy between Mtb-Specific IFN-γ and IgG Responses in HIV-Positive People with Low CD4 Counts.” eBioMedicine, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104504
Mark Collinson, Kobus Herbst, Taurayi Mudzana, et al. “Cohort Profile: South African Population Research Infrastructure Network (SAPRIN).” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab261
Mark Collinson and Mduduzi Biyase. “Migration and Remittances in South Africa.” In The Oxford Handbook of the South African Economy. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780192894199.013.34
Mark J. Siedner, Kobus Herbst, Guy Harling, et al. “Protocol: Leveraging a Demographic and Health Surveillance System for Covid-19 Surveillance in Rural KwaZulu-Natal.” Wellcome Open Research, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15949.2
Mark J. Siedner, Kobus Herbst, John D. Kraemer, et al. “Access to Primary Healthcare during Lockdown Measures for COVID-19 in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043763
Matias D. Cattaneo, Rocío Titiunik, and Luke Keele. “A Guide to Regression Discontinuity Designs in Medical Applications.” Statistics in Medicine, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9861
Matthew Fentress, Alison D. Grant, Patricia C. Henwood, et al. “High Sensitivity of Ultrasound for the Diagnosis of Tuberculosis in Adults in South Africa: A Proof-of-Concept Study.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000800
Michèle Ramsay, Kobus Herbst, Amelia C. Crampin, Ayaga A. Bawah, and Evelyn Gitau. “The Value Proposition of Coordinated Population Cohorts Across Africa.” Annual Review of Biomedical Data Science, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-biodatasci-020722-015026
Mike Mashiba and Kathleen L. Collins. “Molecular Mechanisms of HIV Immune Evasion of the Innate Immune Response in Myeloid Cells.” Viruses, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.3390/v5010001
Mitzy Gafos, Richard Mutemwa, M. Mzimela, Hlengiwe Ndlovu, Nkosinathi Mhlongo, and Yael Hoogland. “‘One Teabag Is Better than Four’: Participants Response to the Discontinuation of 2% PRO2000/5 Microbicide Gel in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0014577
Mufaro Kanyangarara, Stéphane Helleringer, Laëtitia Douillot, Gilles Pison, Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye, and Valérie Delaunay. “Tracing Long- and Short-Term Migrants for Participation in Demographic and Epidemiological Studies: Evidence from Senegal.” Field Methods, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1177/1525822x19879892
Natsayi Chimbindi, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Till Bärnighausen. “An Integrated Approach to Improving the Availability and Utilisation of Tuberculosis Healthcare in Rural South Africa.” South African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.6423
Natsayi Chimbindi, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Till Bärnighausen. “Patient Satisfaction with HIV and TB Treatment in a Public Programme in Rural KwaZulu-Natal: Evidence from Patient-Exit Interviews.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6963-14-32
Natsayi Chimbindi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Ursula Ngema, et al. “The Sexual and Reproductive Health Needs of School-Going Young People in the Context of COVID-19 in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2022.2095921
Nicky McCreesh, Alison D. Grant, Aaron S Karat, et al. “Modelling the Effect of Infection Prevention and Control Measures on Rate ofMycobacterium Tuberculosistransmission to Clinic Attendees in Primary Health Clinics in South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007124
Nicky McCreesh, Guy Harling, Vuyiswa Dlamini, et al. “Impact of Social Distancing Regulations and Epidemic Risk Perception on Social Contact and SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Potential in Rural South Africa: Analysis of Repeated Cross-Sectional Surveys.” Nan, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.01.20241877
Nicky McCreesh, Guy Harling, Vuyiswa Dlamini, et al. “Impact of the Covid-19 Epidemic and Related Social Distancing Regulations on Social Contact and SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Potential in Rural South Africa: Analysis of Repeated Cross-Sectional Surveys.” BMC Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06604-8
Nicky McCreesh, Keren Middelkoop, Mbali Mohlamonyane, et al. “Improving Estimates of Social Contact Patterns for Airborne Transmission of Respiratory Pathogens.” Emerging Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2810.212567
Nicky McCreesh, Richard G. White, Aaron S Karat, et al. “Estimating the Contribution of Transmission in Primary Healthcare Clinics to Community-Wide TB Disease Incidence, and the Impact of Infection Prevention and Control Interventions, in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007136
Noah Haber, Günther Fink, Guy Harling, et al. “List Randomization for Eliciting HIV Status and Sexual Behaviors in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Randomized Experiment Using Known True Values for Validation.” BMC Medical Research Methodology, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-018-0507-9
Noam D. Elkies, Till Bärnighausen, and Günther Fink. “‘Scrambling’ Geo-Referenced Data to Protect Privacy Induces Bias in Distance Estimation.” Population and Environment, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-014-0225-0
Nondumiso Dlamini, Janet Seeley, Siphesihle Hlongwane, et al. “‘It Felt like a Weight Was Being Taken off of My Shoulders’: Findings from an Intervention to Support Migrant Adolescents and Young People in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” SSM - Mental Health, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmmh.2025.100449
Nothando Ngwenya, Aoife M. Doyle, Busisiwe Nkosi, Lerato S. Mchunu, Jane Ferguson, and Janet Seeley. “Behavioural and Socio-Ecological Factors That Influence Access and Utilisation of Health Services by Young People Living in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Implications for Intervention.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231080
Nothando Ngwenya, Janet Seeley, Collins Iwuji, et al. “Investigation of Post-Trial Access Views among Study Participants and Stakeholders Using Photovoice and Semistructured Interviews.” Journal of Medical Ethics, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/medethics-2020-107011
Nothando Ngwenya, Janet Seeley, Thandeka Smith, et al. “Social Categorisation and Social Identification: The Mediating Role of Social Isolation and Loneliness in Adolescents Living with HIV.” International Journal of Behavioral Medicine, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12529-023-10205-x
Nothando Ngwenya, Zamashandu Mbatha, Manono Luthuli, et al. “Participant Understanding of Informed Consent in a Multidisease Community-Based Health Screening and Biobank Platform in Rural South Africa.” International Health, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1093/inthealth/ihaa072
Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Ruth Bland, Tamsen Rochat, and Bronwynè Coetzee. “Mothers’ and Health Workers’ Perceptions of Participation in a Child-Friendly Health Initiative in Rural South Africa.” Health, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.4236/health.2013.512291
Ntombizonke A. Gumede, Guy Harling, Siphesihle Hlongwane, et al. “Finding Knowledge: How Youth Identify Their Candidacy and Sources of Information Regarding Sexual and Reproductive Health in Rural KwaZulu-Natal. South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22595-6
Ntombophelo Sithole-Tetani. “The Role of Psychology Towards Sustainable Development Goal 3: Good Health and Wellbeing in South Africa.” E-Journal of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.38159/ehass.202451659
Palwasha Khan, Alison D. Grant, Indira Govender, et al. “Africa Health Research Institute (AHRI) Household Contact Study: A Study Protocol, Statistical Analysis and Modelling Plan.” Wellcome Open Research, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.22974.1
Polycarp Mogeni, Frank Tanser, Alain Vandormael, Diego Cuadros, and Christopher C. Appleton. “Impact of Community Piped Water Coverage on Re-Infection with Urogenital Schistosomiasis in Rural South Africa.” eLife, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.7554/elife.54012
Rachael Piltch‐Loeb, Guy Harling, Lusanda Mazibuko, et al. “COVID-19 Vaccine Uptake, Confidence and Hesitancy in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa between April 2021 and April 2022: A Continuous Cross-Sectional Surveillance Study.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0002033
Rachel Mukora, Hojoon Sohn, Ryan Thompson, et al. “Human Resource Time Commitments and Associated Costs of Community Caregiver Outreach Team Operations in South Africa.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0282425
Rujeko Samanthia Chimukuche, Clare Cutland, Nothando Ngwenya, et al. “Assessing Community Acceptance of Maternal Immunisation in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Qualitative Investigation.” Vaccines, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines10030415
Saeideh Babashahi, Collins Iwuji, Kingsley Orievulu, Ekeminiabasi Eyita-Okon, and Dominic Kniveton. “Evaluation of the Social and Economic Impact of Extreme Weather Events in People Living with HIV in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (S3E Project): Protocol for a Mixed-Method Study.” PLOS One, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0325490
Sarah Bernays, Janet Seeley, Chloe Lanyon, et al. “‘This Is What Is Going to Help Me’: Developing a Co-Designed and Theoretically Informed Harm Reduction Intervention for Mobile Youth in South Africa and Uganda.” Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441692.2021.1953105
Shannon M. Williams, Alison Wringe, Jenny Renju, and Mosa Moshabela. “Understanding the Influence of Health Systems on Women’s Experiences of Option B+: A Meta-Ethnography of Qualitative Research from Sub-Saharan Africa.” Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441692.2020.1851385
Shao-Tzu Yu, Brian Houle, Peng Wang, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, Dickman Gareta, and Guy Harling. “Local Network Interaction as a Mechanism for Wealth Inequality.” Nature Communications, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49607-0
Sheetal Silal, Helen Schneider, Loveday Penn‐Kekana, and Till Bärnighausen. “Local Level Inequalities in the Use of Hospital-Based Maternal Delivery in Rural South Africa.” Globalization and Health, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-014-0060-1
Shuaib Kauchali, Jan Van den Broeck, and Nigel Rollins. “Local Beliefs about Childhood Diarrhoea: Importance for Healthcare and Research.” Journal of Tropical Pediatrics, ahead of print, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1093/tropej/50.2.82
Stella Arakelyan, Karina Kielmann, Hayley MacGregor, Anna Voce, Janet Seeley, and Alison D. Grant. “Beyond Checklists: Using Clinic Ethnography to Assess the Enabling Environment for Tuberculosis Infection Prevention Control in South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000964
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Mark Tomlinson, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Detection of Antenatal Depression in Rural HIV-Affected Populations with Short and Ultrashort Versions of the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS).” Archives of Women’s Mental Health, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00737-013-0353-z
Thabang Manyaapelo, Janet Seeley, Anita Edwards, et al. “COVID-19 and Older People’s Wellbeing in Northern KwaZulu-Natal – the Importance of Relationships.” Wellcome Open Research, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17841.5
Till Bärnighausen, Salal Humair, and David E. Bloom. “Health Systems and HIV Treatment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Matching Intervention and Programme Evaluation Strategies.” Sexually Transmitted Infections, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1136/sextrans-2011-050303
Ting Ting Wang, Guy Harling, Collin Payne, Sumaya Mall, and Stephen Tollman. “The Relationship between Lifecourse Traumatic Events and Pain in an Older Rural South African Population: A Cross-Sectional Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313140
Tom A. Moultrie, Marie‐Louise Newell, Victoria Hosegood, Nuala McGrath, Caterina Hill, and Kobus Herbst. “Refining the Criteria for Stalled Fertility Declines: An Application to Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa, 1990‐2005.” Studies in Family Planning, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4465.2008.00149.x
Tom Yates, Frank Tanser, Siphiwe Cebekhulu, et al. “Tuberculin Skin Test Surveys and the Annual Risk of Tuberculous Infection in School Children in Northern KwaZulu-Natal.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0003263
Valérian Turbé, Rachel A. McKendry, Carina Herbst, et al. “Deep Learning of HIV Field-Based Rapid Tests.” Nature Medicine, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01384-9
Wynand J. Goosen, Michele A. Miller, Sashen Moodley, et al. “Identification and Molecular Characterization of Mycobacterium Bovis DNA in GeneXpert® MTB/RIF Ultra-Positive, Culture-Negative Sputum from a Rural Community in South Africa.” One Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2024.100702
Yazoume Yé, Osman Sankoh, Marylene Wamukoya, Alex Ezeh, and Jacques Emina. “Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems: A Step towards Full Civil Registration and Vital Statistics System in Sub-Sahara Africa?” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-741
Yi Cai, Christopher M. Sassetti, Eleni Jaecklein, et al. “Host Immunity Increases Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Reliance on Cytochrome Bd Oxidase.” PLOS Pathogens, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1008911
Cluster 6 Publications
Abraham Malaza, Marie‐Louise Newell, Joël Mossong, and Till Bärnighausen. “Hypertension and Obesity in Adults Living in a High HIV Prevalence Rural Area in South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0047761
Aditi Kuber, Sebastián Vollmer, Anna Reuter, et al. “The Effect of Eligibility for Antiretroviral Therapy on Body Mass Index and Blood Pressure in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Scientific Reports, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94057-z
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Susanne S. Hoeppner, et al. “Association between Prior Tuberculosis Disease and Dysglycemia within an HIV-Endemic, Rural South African Population.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0282371
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Susanne S. Hoeppner, et al. “Identifying Sex-Specific Anthropometric Measures and Thresholds for Dysglycemia Screening in an HIV-Endemic Rural South African Population.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001698
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Yumna Moosa, et al. “Prior Tuberculosis, Radiographic Lung Abnormalities and Prevalent Diabetes in Rural South Africa.” BMC Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-09583-8
Amelia M. Stanton, Mark J. Siedner, Ryan L. Boyd, et al. “HIV, Multimorbidity, and Health-Related Quality of Life in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Population-Based Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0293963
André Pascal Kengne, Bongani M. Mayosi, and Lucas Ntyintyane. “A Systematic Overview of Prospective Cohort Studies of Cardiovascular Disease in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Cardiovascular Journal of Africa, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.5830/cvja-2011-042
Andrea B Feigl, Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, et al. “The Effect of HIV and the Modifying Effect of Anti-Retroviral Therapy (ART) on Body Mass Index (BMI) and Blood Pressure Levels in Rural South Africa.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0158264
Brianna Osetinsky, Omar Galárraga, Jan A. C. Hontelez, et al. “Epidemiological And Health Systems Implications Of Evolving HIV And Hypertension In South Africa And Kenya.” Health Affairs, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.2018.05287
Diego F. Cuadros, Frank Tanser, Chayanika Devi, et al. “Convergence of HIV and Non-Communicable Disease Epidemics: Geospatial Mapping of the Unmet Health Needs in an HIV Hyperendemic Community in South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012730
Emily Wong, Sashin Harilall, Stephen Olivier, et al. “Convergence of Infectious and Non-Communicable Disease Epidemics in Rural South Africa: A Cross-Sectional, Population-Based Multimorbidity Study.” The Lancet Global Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(21)00176-5
Eran Bendavid, Edward J. Mills, and Nathan Ford. “HIV and Africa’s Elderly.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e3283558513
Glory Chidumwa, Emily Wong, Stephen Olivier, et al. “Association between Tobacco Smoking and Prevalence of HIV, Tuberculosis, Hypertension and Diabetes in Rural South Africa: A Cross-Sectional Study.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-20791-4
Glory Chidumwa, Emily Wong, Stephen Olivier, et al. “Tobacco Smoking and Prevalence of Communicable and Non-Communicable Diseases in Rural South Africa: A Cross-Sectional Study.” Nan, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2730894/v1
Glory Chidumwa, Mark J. Siedner, Lusanda Mazibuko, et al. “HIV, Hypertension and Diabetes Care and All-Cause Mortality in Rural South Africa in the HIV Antiretroviral Therapy Era: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.” BMJ Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjph-2023-000153
Helen D’Couto, Krishna P. Reddy, Acadia M Thielking, et al. “The Impact of Tobacco Smoking and Smoking Cessation on Lung Cancer and Stroke Incidence among People with HIV on Antiretroviral Therapy in South Africa: A Simulation Modeling Study.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2024-017049
Itai M. Magodoro, Mark J. Siedner, Alison Castle, et al. “Associations of HIV and Prevalent Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in the Context of Obesity in South Africa.” Journal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1177/26335565241293691
Itai M. Magodoro, Mark J. Siedner, Stephen Olivier, et al. “Linkage to HIV Care and Hypertension and Diabetes Control in Rural South Africa: Results from the Population-Based Vukuzazi Study.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001221
Jennifer Manne‐Goehler, Mark J. Siedner, Kathy Baisley, et al. “BMI and All‐Cause Mortality in a Population‐Based Cohort in Rural South Africa.” Obesity, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.23005
Jiachen Zhou, Frank Tanser, Mark N. Lurie, Till Bärnighausen, Stephen T. McGarvey, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Determinants and Spatial Patterns of Adult Overweight and Hypertension in a High HIV Prevalence Rural South African Population.” Health & Place, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2012.09.001
Karla I. Galavíz, Samanta Tresha Lalla‐Edward, Shivani A. Patel, et al. “Integrating Hypertension Detection and Management in HIV Care in South Africa: Protocol for a Stepped-Wedged Cluster Randomized Effectiveness-Implementation Hybrid Trial.” Implementation Science Communications, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43058-024-00640-6
Maemu P. Gededzha, Selokela G. Selabe, M. Jeffrey Mphahlele, and Azwidowi Lukhwareni. “Should Routine Serological Screening for HCV Be Mandatory in HIV/AIDS Patients Enrolling for HAART in South Africa?” South African Medical Journal, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.4238
Manasseh B. Wireko, Isaac Kofi Owusu, Jacobus Hendricks, et al. “Association Between Alcohol Consumption and Blood Pressure Levels Among HIV Sero-Positive and Sero-Negative Cohorts: A Secondary Analysis of the Vukuzazzi Study.” Journal of Primary Care & Community Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1177/21501319241235594
Mark J. Siedner, Max Bachmann, Kathy Baisley, et al. “Linkage to Primary Care after Home-Based Blood Pressure Screening in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Population-Based Cohort Study.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023369
Mark J. Siedner, Thomas A. Gaziano, Nombulelo Magula, et al. “Home-Based Care for Hypertension in Rural South Africa.” New England Journal of Medicine, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2509958
Monica Sharman and Max Bachmann. “Prevalence and Health Effects of Communicable and Non‐communicable Disease Comorbidity in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13297
Nsika Sithole, Mark J. Siedner, Alison Castle, et al. “Protocol: Implementation Evaluation of a Combination Intervention for Sustainable Blood Pressure Control in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (IMPACT BP): A Three-Arm, Unblinded, Parallel Group Individually Randomized Clinical Trial.” Contemporary Clinical Trials, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cct.2023.107258
Portia Mutevedzi, Marie‐Louise Newell, Alison Rodger, Paul Kowal, and Makandwe Nyirenda. “Decreased Chronic Morbidity but Elevated HIV Associated Cytokine Levels in HIV-Infected Older Adults Receiving HIV Treatment: Benefit of Enhanced Access to Care?” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0077379
Resign Gunda, Emily Wong, Olivier Koole, et al. “Cohort Profile: The Vukuzazi (‘Wake Up and Know Yourself’ in isiZulu) Population Science Programme.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab229
Ronel Sewpaul, Krishna P. Reddy, Stephen Olivier, et al. “Initiation, Cessation and Relapse of Tobacco Smoking over a 3-Year Period among Participants Aged ≥15 Years in a Large Longitudinal Cohort in Rural South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0004126
Stephen Olivier, Mark J. Siedner, Thomas S. Murray, et al. “Pitfalls of Single Measurement Screening for Diabetes and Hypertension in Community-Based Settings.” Global Heart, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.1083
Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Tanya Welz, et al. “Hiding in the Shadows of the HIV Epidemic: Obesity and Hypertension in a Rural Population with Very High HIV Prevalence in South Africa.” Journal of Human Hypertension, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.jhh.1002308
Urisha Singh, Sashin Harilall, Stephen Olivier, et al. “The Met and Unmet Health Needs for HIV, Hypertension, and Diabetes in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Analysis of a Cross-Sectional Multimorbidity Survey.” The Lancet Global Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2214-109x(23)00239-5
Zolelwa Sifumba, Emily Wong, Helgard Claassen, et al. “Subclinical Tuberculosis Linkage to Care and Completion of Treatment Following Community-Based Screening in Rural South Africa.” BMC Global and Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s44263-024-00059-0
Cluster 7 Publications
Alain Mangé, Jérôme Solassol, Édouard Tuaillon, et al. “Elevated Concentrations of Milk Β2-Microglobulin Are Associated with Increased Risk of Breastfeeding Transmission of HIV-1 (Vertical Transmission Study).” Journal of Proteome Research, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1021/pr400578h
Angela B White, Jennifer S. Read, Joy Mirjahangir, Hacsi Horváth, and Andrew Anglemyer. “Antiretroviral Interventions for Preventing Breast Milk Transmission of HIV.” Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.cd011323
Anna Coutsoudis, Ruth Bland, Kirsty England, Nigel Rollins, Hoosen Coovadia, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Women’s Morbidity and Mortality in the First 2 Years after Delivery According to HIV Status.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e32834041b7
Brian Houle, Ruth Bland, Tamsen Rochat, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Alan Stein. “Breastfeeding, HIV Exposure, Childhood Obesity, and Prehypertension: A South African Cohort Study.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002889
Chris Desmond, Marie‐Louise Newell, Ruth Bland, et al. “Scaling-Up Exclusive Breastfeeding Support Programmes: The Example of KwaZulu-Natal.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002454
Dorine Neveu, Marie‐Louise Newell, Johannes Viljoen, et al. “Cumulative Exposure to Cell-Free HIV in Breast Milk, Rather Than Feeding Pattern per Se, Identifies Postnatally Infected Infants.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciq203
Édouard Tuaillon, Philippe Van de Perre, Johanes Viljoen, et al. “Subclinical Mastitis Occurs Frequently in Association with Dramatic Changes in Inflammatory/Anti-Inflammatory Breast Milk Components.” Pediatric Research, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1038/pr.2016.220
EN Some and Nicolas Méda. “Does the National Program of Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission of HIV (PMTCT) Reach Its Target in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso?” African Health Sciences, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.4314/ahs.v14i4.17
Grace John‐Stewart, Marie‐Louise Newell, Dorothy Mbori‐Ngacha, et al. “Breast-Feeding and Transmission of HIV-1.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1097/00126334-200402010-00015
H. Manisha Yapa, Till Bärnighausen, Róisín Drayne, et al. “Infant Feeding Knowledge and Practice Vary by Maternal HIV Status: A Nested Cohort Study in Rural South Africa.” International Breastfeeding Journal, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13006-020-00317-5
Hoosen Coovadia, Marie‐Louise Newell, Nigel Rollins, et al. “Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV-1 Infection during Exclusive Breastfeeding in the First 6 Months of Life: An Intervention Cohort Study.” The Lancet, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(07)60283-9
Hyunsuk Yoo, Sue K. Park, Juyeon Lee, Jae‐Joon Yim, Till Bärnighausen, and Frank Tanser. “Effect of the Number of Pregnancies on Mortality Risk in HIV-Infected Women: A Prospective Cohort Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2232-0
Ivana Beesham, Lynn T. Matthews, Manjeetha Jaggernath, et al. “Longitudinal Changes in Tenofovir and Tenofovir-Diphosphate Concentrations among Pregnant Women Using Oral PrEP for HIV Prevention: Findings from Durban, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000003586
James Ndirangu, Claire Thorne, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Ruth Bland. “Maternal HIV Infection Associated with Small-for-Gestational Age Infants but Not Preterm Births: Evidence from Rural South Africa.” Human Reproduction, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/des090
James Ndirangu, Marie‐Louise Newell, Johannes Viljoen, et al. “Cell-Free (RNA) and Cell-Associated (DNA) HIV-1 and Postnatal Transmission through Breastfeeding.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0051493
Johannes Viljoen, Philippe Van de Perre, Édouard Tuaillon, et al. “Cytomegalovirus, and Possibly Epstein–Barr Virus, Shedding in Breast Milk Is Associated with HIV-1 Transmission by Breastfeeding.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000000527
Mary Glenn Fowler and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Breast-Feeding and HIV-1 Transmission in Resource-Limited Settings.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1097/00042560-200206010-00012
Milly Marston, Basia Żaba, Marie‐Louise Newell, et al. “Is the Risk of HIV Acquisition Increased during and Immediately after Pregnancy? A Secondary Analysis of Pooled HIV Community-Based Studies from the ALPHA Network.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0082219
Nigel Rollins, Marie‐Louise Newell, Hoosen Coovadia, et al. “Pregnancy Outcomes in HIV-Infected and Uninfected Women in Rural and Urban South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0b013e31802ea4b0
Nigel Rollins, Marie‐Louise Newell, James Ndirangu, Ruth Bland, Anna Coutsoudis, and Hoosen Coovadia. “Exclusive Breastfeeding, Diarrhoeal Morbidity and All-Cause Mortality in Infants of HIV-Infected and HIV Uninfected Mothers: An Intervention Cohort Study in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081307
Nigel Rollins, Marie‐Louise Newell, Nicolas Méda, et al. “Preventing Postnatal Transmission of HIV-1 Through Breast-Feeding: Modifying Infant Feeding Practices.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1097/00126334-200402010-00014
Peggy Papathakis, Kenneth H. Brown, Marta D. Van Loan, Nigel Rollins, Caroline J. Chantry, and Michael L. Bennish. “Body Composition Changes During Lactation in HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected South African Women.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.qai.0000243094.42276.92
Peggy Papathakis, Kenneth H. Brown, Nigel Rollins, Caroline J. Chantry, and Michael L. Bennish. “Micronutrient Status during Lactation in HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected South African Women during the First 6 Mo after Delivery.” The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/85.1.182
Roxane Schaub, Édouard Tuaillon, Stéphanie Badiou, et al. “The Immune Response to Sub-Clinical Mastitis Is Impaired in HIV-Infected Women.” Journal of Translational Medicine, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-018-1667-4
Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, Hoosen Coovadia, Anna Coutsoudis, and Nigel Rollins. “Cohort Profile: Mamanengane or the Africa Centre Vertical Transmission Study.” International Journal of Epidemiology, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyp165
Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, Kirsty Little, Hoosen Coovadia, Anna Coutsoudis, and Nigel Rollins. “Intervention to Promote Exclusive Breast-Feeding for the First 6 Months of Life in a High HIV Prevalence Area.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e3282f768de
Ruth Bland, Marie‐Louise Newell, Renaud Becquet, Nigel Rollins, Anna Coutsoudis, and Hoosen Coovadia. “Breast Health Problems Are Rare in Both HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Women Who Receive Counseling and Support for Breast-Feeding in South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1086/523320
Sivapragashini Danaviah, Marie‐Louise Newell, T. de Oliveira, et al. “Evidence of Long-Lived Founder Virus in Mother-to-Child HIV Transmission.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0120389
SO Mepham, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Ruth Bland. “Prevention of Mother‐to‐child Transmission of HIV in Resource‐rich and ‐poor Settings.” BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2010.02733.x
Solveig A. Cunningham, Victoria Hosegood, Irma T. Elo, and Kobus Herbst. “Prenatal Development in Rural South Africa: Relationship between Birth Weight and Access to Fathers and Grandparents.” Population Studies, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2010.510201
Stéphanie Badiou, Dorine Neveu, Édouard Tuaillon, et al. “Association between Breast Milk Fatty Acids and HIV-1 Transmission through Breastfeeding.” Prostaglandins, Leukotrienes and Essential Fatty Acids, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.plefa.2015.11.004
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Linda Richter, Helen Doll, Nomphilo P. Buthelezi, and Andrew Tomkins. “Depression Among Pregnant Rural South African Women Undergoing HIV Testing.” JAMA, ahead of print, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.295.12.1376
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Mark Tomlinson, Till Bärnighausen, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “The Prevalence and Clinical Presentation of Antenatal Depression in Rural South Africa.” Journal of Affective Disorders, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2011.08.011
Tamsen Rochat, Alan Stein, Ruth Bland, and Mark Tomlinson. “Suicide Ideation, Depression and HIV among Pregnant Women in Rural South Africa.” Health, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.4236/health.2013.53a086
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, et al. “Exclusive Breastfeeding and Cognition, Executive Function, and Behavioural Disorders in Primary School-Aged Children in Rural South Africa: A Cohort Analysis.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002044
Tamsen Rochat, Ruth Bland, Brian Houle, Alan Stein, Rebecca M. Pearson, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Psychological Morbidity and Parenting Stress in Mothers of Primary School Children by Timing of Acquisition of HIV Infection: A Longitudinal Cohort Study in Rural South Africa.” Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1017/s204017441700068x
Terusha Chetty, Anna Coutsoudis, Alain Vandormael, and Claire Thorne. “Incident HIV during Pregnancy and Early Postpartum Period: A Population-Based Cohort Study in a Rural Area in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-017-1421-6
Terusha Chetty, Anna Coutsoudis, and Claire Thorne. “Preterm Delivery and Small-for-Gestation Outcomes in HIV-Infected Pregnant Women on Antiretroviral Therapy in Rural South Africa: Results from a Cohort Study, 2010-2015.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0192805
Terusha Chetty, Anna Coutsoudis, Claire Thorne, Frank Tanser, and Till Bärnighausen. “Cohort Profile: The Hlabisa Pregnancy Cohort, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2016-012088
Terusha Chetty, Anna Coutsoudis, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Claire Thorne. “Viraemia before, during and after Pregnancy in HIV‐infected Women on Antiretroviral Therapy in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa, 2010–2015.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13001
Terusha Chetty, Marie‐Louise Newell, Rosalind J. Carter, and Ruth Bland. “HIV Status, Breastfeeding Modality at 5 Months and Postpartum Maternal Weight Changes over 24 Months in Rural South Africa.” Tropical Medicine & International Health, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.12320
Yoshan Moodley, Andrew Tomita, and Frank Tanser. “Temperature at Conception and Pregnancy Loss in Rural KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa: Implications for Climate Change Policy in Sub-Saharan African Settings.” Nan, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.18.21253882
Yoshan Moodley, Andrew Tomita, Kwabena Asare, and Frank Tanser. “Maternal Exposure to Heat and Its Association with Miscarriage in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Population-Based Cohort Study.” Women’s Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1177/17455057241259171
Yoshan Moodley, Frank Tanser, Hallie Eilerts, and Kobus Herbst. “Pregnancy Loss and Postpartum Mortality in a Sub-Saharan African Setting.” Nan, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.18.21253872
Yoshan Moodley, Frank Tanser, and Kobus Herbst. “Interpregnancy Interval and Pregnancy Loss in a Rural South Africa: A Population-Based Cohort Study.” Nan, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.18.21253877
Cluster 8 Publications
Annabelle Gourlay, Isolde Birdthistle, Sian Floyd, et al. “Impact of the DREAMS Partnership on Social Support and General Self-Efficacy among Adolescent Girls and Young Women: Causal Analysis of Population-Based Cohorts in Kenya and South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006965
Annabelle Gourlay, Sian Floyd, Isolde Birdthistle, et al. “Awareness and Uptake of Layered HIV Prevention Programming for Young Women: Analysis of Population-Based Surveys in Three DREAMS Settings in Kenya and South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-7766-1
Annabelle Gourlay, Sian Floyd, Isolde Birdthistle, et al. “Awareness and Uptake of the Determined, Resilient, Empowered, AIDS-Free, Mentored and Safe HIV Prevention Package over Time among Population-Based Cohorts of Young Women in Kenya and South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003120
Aoife M. Doyle, Isolde Birdthistle, Sian Floyd, et al. “Who Are the Male Sexual Partners of Adolescent Girls and Young Women? Comparative Analysis of Population Data in Three Settings Prior to DREAMS Roll-Out.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198783
Dumile Gumede, Janet Seeley, Anna Meyer-Weitz, Thembelihle Zuma, and Maryam Shahmanesh. “A Qualitative Investigation of Facilitators and Barriers to DREAMS Uptake among Adolescents with Grandparent Caregivers in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000369
Elvis Omondi Achach Wambiya, Abdhalah Ziraba, Annabelle Gourlay, et al. “Impact of DREAMS Interventions on Experiences of Violence among Adolescent Girls and Young Women: Findings from Population-Based Cohort Studies in Kenya and South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001818
Isolde Birdthistle, Daniel Kwaro, Maryam Shahmanesh, et al. “Evaluating the Impact of DREAMS on HIV Incidence among Adolescent Girls and Young Women: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Kenya and South Africa.” PLoS Medicine, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003837
Isolde Birdthistle, Sian Floyd, Daniel J. Carter, et al. “Early Impact of the DREAMS Partnership on Young Women’s Knowledge of Their HIV Status: Causal Analysis of Population-Based Surveys in Kenya and South Africa.” Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-216042
Natsayi Chimbindi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Isolde Birdthistle, et al. “Directed and Target Focused Multi‐sectoral Adolescent HIV Prevention: Insights from Implementation of the ‘DREAMS Partnership’ in Rural South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25575
Natsayi Chimbindi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Nondumiso Mthiyane, et al. “Persistently High Incidence of HIV and Poor Service Uptake in Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa Prior to DREAMS.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0203193
Nondumiso Mthiyane, Guy Harling, Maryam Shahmanesh, et al. “Uptake of Multi-Level HIV Interventions and HIV-Related Behaviours among Young People in Rural South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0003258
Nondumiso Mthiyane, Lorraine Sherr, Guy Harling, et al. “Common Mental Disorders and HIV Status in the Context of DREAMS among Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-10527-z
Nondumiso Mthiyane, Maryam Shahmanesh, Kathy Baisley, et al. “The Association of Exposure to DREAMS on Sexually Acquiring or Transmitting HIV amongst Adolescent Girls and Young Women Living in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003156
Sian Floyd, Isolde Birdthistle, Sarah Mulwa, et al. “DREAMS Impact on HIV Status Knowledge and Sexual Risk among Cohorts of Young Women in Kenya and South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003157
Thembelihle Zuma, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “A Socio-Ecological Approach to Understanding Experiences and Perceptions of a Multilevel HIV Prevention Intervention: The Determined, Resilient, Empowered, AIDS-Free, Mentored, and Safe (DREAMS) Partnership in uMkhanyakude, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” SSM - Qualitative Research in Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmqr.2022.100138
Cluster 9 Publications
Adam Akullian, Frank Tanser, Anna Bershteyn, Daniel J. Klein, Alain Vandormael, and Till Bärnighausen. “Sexual Partnership Age Pairings and Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000001553
Adrian Dobra, Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, and Alain Vandormael. “A Method for Statistical Analysis of Repeated Residential Movements to Link Human Mobility and HIV Acquisition.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217284
Adrian Dobra, Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, and Alain Vandormael. “Space-Time Migration Patterns and Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000001292
Alessandra Garbero, Ingrid Woolard, and Victoria Hosegood. “Who Is Falling Behind? Is AIDS-Related Mortality Contributing to Increased ‘Income’ Mobility in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa?” SSRN Electronic Journal, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3305868
Aleya Khalifa, Barun Mathema, Sara Wallach, et al. “Measuring Mobility in HIV Research in sub‐Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26508
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Jacob Busang, et al. “Alcohol Use and the Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Continuum of Care Among Men in Rural South Africa: Results from a Longitudinal Study.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-025-04694-y
Alison Castle, Mark J. Siedner, Sheela Shenoi, et al. “Alcohol Consumption and Health Outcomes Among Men in a Rural HIV-Endemic Cohort in South Africa.” Wellcome Open Research, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.24185.1
Alison Wringe, Emma Slaymaker, Íde Cremin, et al. “Comparative Assessment of the Quality of Age-at-Event Reporting in Three HIV Cohort Studies in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Sexually Transmitted Infections, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1136/sti.2008.033423
Andrew Gibbs, Maryam Shahmanesh, Esnat Chirwa, et al. “Young Mens Experiences of Violence and Poverty and the Relationship to Sexually Transmissible HIV: A Cross Sectional Study from Rural South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000003709
Andrew Tomita, Frank Tanser, Alain Vandormael, Till Bärnighausen, and Túlio de Oliveira. “Social Disequilibrium and the Risk of HIV Acquisition: A Multilevel Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000001349
Anita Edwards, Janet Seeley, Mark J. Siedner, et al. “HIV Serostatus, Inflammatory Biomarkers and the Frailty Phenotype among Older People in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2020.1790398
Armstrong Dzomba, Frank Tanser, Andrew Tomita, Alain Vandormael, and Kaymarlin Govender. “Effect of ART Scale-up and Female Migration Intensity on Risk of HIV Acquisition: Results from a Population-Based Cohort in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-6494-x
Armstrong Dzomba, Frank Tanser, Andrew Tomita, and Kaymarlin Govender. “Effects of Migration on Risky Sexual Behavior and HIV Acquisition in South Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, 2000–2017.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2367-z
Armstrong Dzomba, Frank Tanser, Hae‐Young Kim, Andrew Tomita, Alain Vandormael, and Kaymarlin Govender. “Predictors of Migration in an HIV Hyper-Endemic Rural South African Community: Evidence from a Population-Based Cohort (2005–2017).” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-13526-w
Boikhutso Tlou. “The Influence of Marital Status on HIV Infection in an HIV Hyperendemic Area of Rural South Africa, 2000–2017.” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2018.1559209
Brendan Maughan‐Brown, Ayesha B. M. Kharsany, Gavin George, et al. “HIV Risk Among Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Age-Disparate Partnerships: Evidence From KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000001656
Carol S. Camlin, Rachel Snow, Victoria Hosegood, Marie‐Louise Newell, Nuala McGrath, and Till Bärnighausen. “Gender, Migration and HIV in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0011539
Carol S. Camlin, Victoria Hosegood, and Rachel Snow. “Gendered Patterns of Migration in Rural South Africa.” Population, Space and Place, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.1794
Charlotte Probst, Jürgen Rehm, and Charles Parry. “HIV/AIDS Mortality Attributable to Alcohol Use in South Africa: A Comparative Risk Assessment by Socioeconomic Status.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2017-017955
Charlotte Probst, Jürgen Rehm, Charles Parry, and Hans‐Ulrich Wïttchen. “The Socioeconomic Profile of Alcohol-Attributable Mortality in South Africa: A Modelling Study.” BMC Medicine, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-018-1080-0
Dick Durevall, Gavin George, and Annika Lindskog. “Education and HIV Incidence among Young Women in KwaZulu-Natal: An Association but No Evidence of a Causal Protective Effect.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0213056
Eva van Empel, Jennifer Manne‐Goehler, Rebecca A. de Vlieg, et al. “Older Adults Vastly Overestimate Both HIV Acquisition Risk and HIV Prevalence in Rural South Africa.” Archives of Sexual Behavior, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10508-021-01982-1
Faith Magut, Maryam Shahmanesh, Lusanda Mazibuko, et al. “HIV and Herpes Simplex Virus 2 (HSV-2) Incidence Among Adolescent Girls and Young Women Who Sell Sex (YWSS) in Rural South Africa: A Population-Based Cohort Study.” Nan, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5044986
Faith Magut, Maryam Shahmanesh, Natsayi Chimbindi, Kathy Baisley, Thembelihle Zuma, and Janet Seeley. “Looking for the Future – Hope and Adolescent Risk Behaviour in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441692.2024.2414818
Frank Tanser, Marie‐Louise Newell, Kyle G Jones, Johannes Viljoen, John Imrie, and Erofili Grapsa. “Human Papillomavirus Seropositivity and Subsequent Risk of HIV Acquisition in Rural South African Women.” Sexually Transmitted Diseases, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1097/olq.0b013e3182918578
Frank Tanser, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Lauren Hund, Geoffrey P. Garnett, and Nuala McGrath. “Effect of Concurrent Sexual Partnerships on Rate of New HIV Infections in a High-Prevalence, Rural South African Population: A Cohort Study.” The Lancet, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60779-4
Frank Tanser, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Lauren Hund, Geoffrey P. Garnett, and Nuala McGrath. “Role of Concurrency in Generalised HIV Epidemics – Authors’ Reply.” The Lancet, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)61806-0
Georges Reniers, Victoria Hosegood, Sylvia Blom, et al. “Tuberculosis Mortality and the Male Survival Deficit in Rural South Africa: An Observational Community Cohort Study.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0185692
Guy Harling, Frank Tanser, Dumile Gumede, Maryam Shahmanesh, Deenan Pillay, and Till Bärnighausen. “Sources of Social Support and Sexual Behaviour Advice for Young Adults in Rural South Africa.” BMJ Global Health, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2018-000955
Guy Harling, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, and Tinofa Mutevedzi. “Assessing the Validity of Respondents’ Reports of Their Partners’ Ages in a Rural South African Population-Based Cohort.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2014-005638
Guy Harling, Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Frank Tanser. “Partner Age-Disparity and HIV Incidence Risk for Older Women in Rural South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-014-0952-3
Guy Harling, Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Frank Tanser, Ichiro Kawachi, and S. V. Subramanian. “Do Age-Disparate Relationships Drive HIV Incidence in Young Women? Evidence from a Population Cohort in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000000198
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Diego F. Cuadros, Eduan Wilkinson, Dennis Maletich Junqueira, and Túlio de Oliveira. “The Geography and Inter-Community Configuration of New Sexual Partnership Formation in a Rural South African Population over Fourteen Years (2003–2016).” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000055
Hae‐Young Kim, Frank Tanser, Guy Harling, et al. “HIV Seroconcordance among Heterosexual Couples in Rural KwaZulu‐Natal, South Africa: A Population‐based Analysis.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.25432
Handan Wand, Gita Ramjee, Tarylee Reddy, et al. “A Simple Risk Prediction Algorithm for HIV Transmission: Results from HIV Prevention Trials in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa (2002–2012).” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-017-1785-7
Handan Wand, Gita Ramjee, Tarylee Reddy, Reshmi Dassaye, J Moodley, and Sarita Naidoo. “Contraceptives and Sexual Behaviours in Predicting Pregnancy Rates in HIV Prevention Trials in South Africa: Past, Present and Future Implications.” Sexual & Reproductive Healthcare, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.srhc.2020.100531
Handan Wand, Tarylee Reddy, and Natashia Morris. “Understanding the Public Health Implications of Self-Reported Condom Use in HIV Clinical Trials: Lessons Learned in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa (2002–2016).” Journal of Public Health, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01639-2
Handan Wand, Tarylee Reddy, Natashia Morris, J Moodley, and Sarita Naidoo. “Impact of Marital Status on Risk of HIV in South Africa (2002–2017).” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2022.2067312
Helen Mebrahtu, Guy Harling, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “Incident Pregnancy and Mental Health among Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: An Observational Cohort Study.” International Journal of Adolescence and Youth, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1080/02673843.2024.2371414
Jana Jarolimova, Lorraine Sherr, Glory Chidumwa, et al. “Prevalence of Curable Sexually Transmitted Infections in a Population-Representative Sample of Young Adults in a High HIV Incidence Area in South Africa.” Sexually Transmitted Diseases, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1097/olq.0000000000001871
Jeffrey W. Eaton, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Nuala McGrath. “Unpacking the Recommended Indicator for Concurrent Sexual Partnerships.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e328351f726
Jesca Mercy Batidzirai. “Discrete Time-to-Event Construction for Multiple Recurrent State Transitions.” In Nan. 2023. https://doi.org/10.29086/10413/23108
Jesca Mercy Batidzirai, Frank Tanser, Samuel Manda, and Henry Mwambi. “Discrete Survival Time Constructions for Studying Marital Formation and Dissolution in Rural South Africa.” Frontiers in Psychology, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.00154
Jim Todd, Basia Żaba, Íde Cremin, et al. “Reported Number of Sexual Partners: Comparison of Data from Four African Longitudinal Studies.” Sexually Transmitted Infections, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1136/sti.2008.033985
Julia Raifman, Till Bärnighausen, Terusha Chetty, et al. “Preventing Unintended Pregnancy and HIV Transmission.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000000373
Katrina F. Ortblad, Till Bärnighausen, Guy Harling, Natsayi Chimbindi, Frank Tanser, and Joshua A. Salomon. “Does Incident Circumcision Lead to Risk Compensation? Evidence From a Population Cohort in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000001912
Kristin Fladseth, Nuala McGrath, Mitzy Gafos, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “The Impact of Gender Norms on Condom Use among HIV-Positive Adults in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLOS ONE, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0122671
Makandwe Nyirenda, Marie‐Louise Newell, and Nuala McGrath. “Gender Differentials in the Impact of Parental Death: Adolescent’s Sexual Behaviour and Risk of HIV Infection in Rural South Africa.” Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450128.2010.507804
Makandwe Nyirenda, Marie‐Louise Newell, Somnath Chatterji, et al. “An Investigation of Factors Associated with the Health and Well-Being of HIV-Infected or HIV-Affected Older People in Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-259
Makandwe Nyirenda, Marie‐Louise Newell, Somnath Chatterji, Tamsen Rochat, and Portia Mutevedzi. “Prevalence and Correlates of Depression among HIV-Infected and -Affected Older People in Rural South Africa.” Journal of Affective Disorders, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2013.05.005
Makandwe Nyirenda, Paul Kowal, Marie‐Louise Newell, et al. “Health, Wellbeing, and Disability among Older People Infected or Affected by HIV in Uganda and South Africa.” Global Health Action, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v6i0.19201
Mark Collinson, Stephen Tollman, Michael J. White, Carren Ginsburg, F. Xavier Gómez‐Olivé, and Kathleen Kahn. “Youth Migration, Livelihood Prospects and Demographic Dividend: A Comparison of the Census 2011 and Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System in the Rural Northeast of South Africa.” African Population Studies, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.11564/30-2-852
Melanie Channon, Nuala McGrath, and Victoria Hosegood. “A Longitudinal Population-Based Analysis of Relationship Status and Mortality in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa 2001–2011.” Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2014-205408
Meredith Evans, T. Rehle, Kathryn Risher, et al. “Age‐disparate Sex and HIV Risk for Young Women from 2002 to 2012 in South Africa.” Journal of the International AIDS Society, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.7448/ias.19.1.21310
Miles Q. Ott, Marie‐Louise Newell, Till Bärnighausen, Frank Tanser, and Mark N. Lurie. “Age-Gaps in Sexual Partnerships: Seeing beyond ‘Sugar Daddies.’” AIDS, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0b013e32834344c9
Milly Marston, Basia Żaba, Emma Slaymaker, et al. “Trends in Marriage and Time Spent Single in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Comparative Analysis of Six Population-Based Cohort Studies and Nine Demographic and Health Surveys.” Sexually Transmitted Infections, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1136/sti.2008.034249
Mitzy Gafos, Jonathan Elford, M. Mzimela, Sizakele Sukazi, Robert Pool, and Catherine M. Montgomery. “Intravaginal Insertion in KwaZulu-Natal: Sexual Practices and Preferences in the Context of Microbicide Gel Use.” Culture, Health & Sexuality, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1080/13691058.2010.507876
Mitzy Gafos, Jonathan Elford, Robert Pool, M. Mzimela, Hlengiwe Ndlovu, and Sheena McCormack. “Communication About Microbicide Use Between Couples in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-014-0965-y
Mitzy Gafos, Jonathan Elford, Robert Pool, M. Mzimela, Hlengiwe Ndlovu, and Sheena McCormack. “The Implications of Post-Coital Intravaginal Cleansing for the Introduction of Vaginal Microbicides in South Africa.” AIDS and Behavior, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-013-0676-9
Mitzy Gafos, Nuala McGrath, M. Mzimela, Hlengiwe Ndlovu, and Sheena McCormack. “How Effective Is Effective Enough? Opinions of Potential End-Users of Microbicides from a Rural South African Community.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2012.722604
Nambusi Kyegombe, Joyce Wamoyi, Kirsten Stoebenau, et al. “Measuring Transactional Sex in Different Contexts: How Do Tools to Measure This Practice Perform in Rural South Africa?” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2021.2012213
Nambusi Kyegombe, Maryam Shahmanesh, Thembelihle Zuma, et al. “A Qualitative Exploration of the Salience of MTV-Shuga, an Edutainment Programme, and Adolescents’ Engagement with Sexual and Reproductive Health Information in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Sexual and Reproductive Health Matters, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/26410397.2022.2083809
Natsayi Chimbindi, Marie‐Louise Newell, Nuala McGrath, Kobus Herbst, and Khin San Tint. “Socio-Demographic Determinants of Condom Use Among Sexually Active Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” The Open AIDS Journal, ahead of print, 2010. https://doi.org/10.2174/1874613601004010088
Natsayi Chimbindi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Nondumiso Mthiyane, et al. “Antiretroviral Therapy Based HIV Prevention Targeting Young Women Who Sell Sex: A Mixed Method Approach to Understand the Implementation of PrEP in a Rural Area of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2021.1902933
Natsayi Chimbindi, Maryam Shahmanesh, Nondumiso Mthiyane, et al. “Evaluating Use of Mass-Media Communication Intervention ‘MTV-Shuga’ on Increased Awareness and Demand for HIV and Sexual Health Services by Adolescent Girls and Young Women in South Africa: An Observational Study.” BMJ Open, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062804
Ntombizodumo Mkwanazi, Ruth Bland, and Tamsen Rochat. “Living with HIV, Disclosure Patterns and Partnerships a Decade after the Introduction of HIV Programmes in Rural South Africa.” AIDS Care, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540121.2015.1028881
Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, Jeffrey W. Eaton, Till Bärnighausen, and Frank Tanser. “Sexual Behaviour in a Rural High HIV Prevalence South African Community.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.aids.0000432473.69250.19
Nuala McGrath, Marie‐Louise Newell, Makandwe Nyirenda, and Victoria Hosegood. “Age at First Sex in Rural South Africa.” Sexually Transmitted Infections, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1136/sti.2008.033324
Nuala McGrath, Victoria Hosegood, Jeffrey W. Eaton, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Migration, Sexual Behaviour, and HIV Risk: A General Population Cohort in Rural South Africa.” The Lancet HIV, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(15)00045-4
Paul Welaga, Marie‐Louise Newell, Victoria Hosegood, Renay Weiner, Caterina Hill, and Kobus Herbst. “Coming Home to Die? The Association between Migration and Mortality in Rural South Africa.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-193
Sarah Bernays, Janet Seeley, Chloe Lanyon, Vuyiswa Dlamini, and Nothando Ngwenya. “Being Young and on the Move in South Africa: How ‘Waithood’ Exacerbates HIV Risks and Disrupts the Success of Current HIV Prevention Interventions.” Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450128.2020.1739359
Sarah Nakasone, Maryam Shahmanesh, Natsayi Chimbindi, et al. “‘They Have This Not Care – Don’t Care Attitude:’ A Mixed Methods Study Evaluating Community Readiness for Oral PrEP in Adolescent Girls and Young Women in a Rural Area of South Africa.” AIDS Research and Therapy, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12981-020-00310-2
Stéphane Helleringer, James Mkandawire, and Hans‐Peter Kohler. “Women Underestimate the Age of Their Partners During Survey Interviews: Implications for HIV Risk Associated With Age Mixing in Northern Malawi.” Sexually Transmitted Diseases, ahead of print, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1097/olq.0b013e318227a486
Suzanna C. Francis, Maryam Shahmanesh, Thobile Mthiyane, et al. “Prevalence of Sexually Transmitted Infections among Young People in South Africa: A Nested Survey in a Health and Demographic Surveillance Site.” PLOS Medicine, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002512
Thandeka Smith, Nothando Ngwenya, Janet Seeley, Maryam Shahmanesh, Christina Psaros, and Chiedza Munikwa. “Influences on Decision-Making about Disclosure of HIV Status by Adolescents and Young Adults Living with HIV in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” African Journal of AIDS Research, ahead of print, 2023. https://doi.org/10.2989/16085906.2023.2277358
Thembelihle Zuma, Janet Seeley, Rachel King, et al. “Lives Interrupted: Navigating Hardship During COVID-19 Provides Lessons in Solidarity and Visibility for Mobile Young People in South Africa and Uganda.” Progress in Development Studies, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177/1464993421998209
Thembelihle Zuma, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “The Changing Landscape of Diverse HIV Treatment and Prevention Interventions: Experiences and Perceptions of Adolescents and Young Adults in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Frontiers in Public Health, ahead of print, 2019. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2019.00336
Thembelihle Zuma, Maryam Shahmanesh, Janet Seeley, et al. “Young People’s Experiences of Sexual and Reproductive Health Interventions in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” International Journal of Adolescence and Youth, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/02673843.2020.1831558
Till Bärnighausen, Marie‐Louise Newell, Victoria Hosegood, and Ian M. Timæus. “The Socioeconomic Determinants of HIV Incidence: Evidence from a Longitudinal, Population-Based Study in Rural South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.aids.0000300533.59483.95
Timothy M Wolock, Jeffrey W. Eaton, Seth Flaxman, Kathryn Risher, Tawanda Dadirai, and Simon Gregson. “Evaluating Distributional Regression Strategies for Modelling Self-Reported Sexual Age-Mixing.” eLife, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.7554/elife.68318
Victoria Hosegood, Tom A. Moultrie, and Nuala McGrath. “Dispensing with Marriage: Marital and Partnership Trends in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa 2000-2006.” Demographic Research, ahead of print, 2009. https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2009.20.13
Vuyiswa Nxumalo, Guy Harling, Siyabonga Nxumalo, et al. “Protocol: Mapping Social Networks, Social Influence and Sexual Health among Youth in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, the Sixhumene Cohort Study.” Wellcome Open Research, ahead of print, 2022. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17896.1
William Muhwava, Marie‐Louise Newell, Victoria Hosegood, Makandwe Nyirenda, and Kobus Herbst. “Levels and Determinants of Migration in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” African Population Studies, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.11564/24-3-302
Cluster 10 Publications
A Kippen, Collins Iwuji, Londiwe Nzimande, and Dickman Gareta. “The Viral Load Monitoring Cascade in HIV Treatment Programmes in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review.” BMC Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-20013-x
Alain Vandormael, Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, et al. “Longitudinal Trends in the Prevalence of Detectable HIV Viremia: Population-Based Evidence From Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cix976
Alain Vandormael, Túlio de Oliveira, David R. Boulware, Frank Tanser, Till Bärnighausen, and Katharine E. Stott. “Brief Report: Virologic Monitoring Can Be a Cost-Effective Strategy to Diagnose Treatment Failure on First-Line ART.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000000870
Andrew Tomita, Frank Tanser, Alain Vandormael, et al. “Sociobehavioral and Community Predictors of Unsuppressed HIV Viral Load.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002100
Benjamin Chimukangara, Túlio de Oliveira, Ayesha B. M. Kharsany, et al. “Moderate-to-High Levels of Pretreatment HIV Drug Resistance in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.” AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, ahead of print, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1089/aid.2018.0202
Collins Iwuji, Kathy Baisley, Maryam Shahmanesh, et al. “Clinical Outcomes after First‐line HIV Treatment Failure in South Africa: The next Cascade of Care.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12877
Collins Iwuji, Kobus Herbst, Meg Osler, et al. “Optimised Electronic Patient Records to Improve Clinical Monitoring of HIV-Positive Patients in Rural South Africa (MONART Trial): Study Protocol for a Cluster-Randomised Trial.” BMC Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06952-5
Dami A. Collier, Ravindra K. Gupta, Collins Iwuji, et al. “Virological Outcomes of Second-Line Protease Inhibitor–Based Treatment for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 in a High-Prevalence Rural South African Setting: A Competing-Risks Prospective Cohort Analysis.” Clinical Infectious Diseases, ahead of print, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cix015
Justen Manasa, for the Southern Afric Tulio de Oliveira, David Katzenstein, Sharon Cassol, and Marie‐Louise Newell. “Primary Drug Resistance in South Africa: Data from 10 Years of Surveys.” AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, ahead of print, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1089/aid.2011.0284
Justen Manasa, Túlio de Oliveira, Richard Lessells, et al. “High-Levels of Acquired Drug Resistance in Adult Patients Failing First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy in a Rural HIV Treatment Programme in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLoS ONE, ahead of print, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0072152
Justen Manasa, Túlio de Oliveira, Siva Danaviah, et al. “An Affordable HIV-1 Drug Resistance Monitoring Method for Resource Limited Settings.” Journal of Visualized Experiments, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.3791/51242-v
Justen Manasa, Túlio de Oliveira, Siva Danaviah, et al. “Increasing HIV-1 Drug Resistance Between 2010 and 2012 in Adults Participating in Population-Based HIV Surveillance in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1089/aid.2015.0225
Lilishia Gounder, Benjamin Chimukangara, Andrew Tomita, et al. “Geospatial and Temporal Mapping of Detectable HIV-1 Viral Loads amid Dolutegravir Rollout in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” PLOS Global Public Health, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0003224
Maitreyi Sahu, Ruanne V. Barnabas, Torin Schaafsma, et al. “Performance of Patient-Collected Dried Blood Spot Specimens for HIV-1 Viral Load Testing: Evidence from the DO ART Study in South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000004011
Manuel Koller, Matthias Egger, Geoffrey Fatti, et al. “Risk Charts to Guide Targeted HIV-1 Viral Load Monitoring of ART: Development and Validation in Patients from Resource-Limited Settings.” JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, ahead of print, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1097/qai.0000000000000748
Markus Otto, Frank Tanser, Elphas Okango, et al. “Trends in Population HIV Viral Suppression: A Longitudinal Analysis.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000004183
Richard Lessells, Túlio de Oliveira, Katharine E. Stott, et al. “Implementing Antiretroviral Resistance Testing in a Primary Health Care HIV Treatment Programme in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Early Experiences, Achievements and Challenges.” BMC Health Services Research, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6963-14-116
Steven A. Kemp, Ravindra K. Gupta, Kimia Kamelian, et al. “HIV Transmission Dynamics and Population-Wide Drug Resistance in Rural South Africa.” Nature Communications, ahead of print, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47254-z
Sureshnee Pillay, Sivapragashini Danaviah, Ruth Bland, Richard Lessells, Justen Manasa, and Túlio de Oliveira. “Drug Resistance in Children at Virological Failure in a Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, Cohort.” AIDS Research and Therapy, ahead of print, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1186/1742-6405-11-3
Suzanne M. McCluskey, Mark J. Siedner, Toby Pepperrell, Andrew Hill, François Venter, and Ravindra K. Gupta. “Adherence, Resistance, and Viral Suppression on Dolutegravir in Sub-Saharan Africa: Implications for the TLD Era.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000003082
Theresa M. Rossouw, Túlio de Oliveira, Martin Nieuwoudt, et al. “HIV Drug Resistance Levels in Adults Failing First‐line Antiretroviral Therapy in an Urban and a Rural Setting in South Africa.” HIV Medicine, ahead of print, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1111/hiv.12400
Yoshan Moodley, Frank Tanser, Andrew Tomita, and Túlio de Oliveira. “HIV Viral Load and Pregnancy Loss: Results from a Population-Based Cohort Study in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.” AIDS, ahead of print, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1097/qad.0000000000002799